“One major concern is that China may try to take advantage of US engagement in the Middle East and try to invade Iran . US control of oil to China blocks this so regardless of anything else. expect the Trump Administration to make efforts to control the flow of oil to China to block Chinese aggression for the indefinite future.
China is going to have a hell of a time with Taiwan, do not think they have the deep blue navy to get more than 1000 to IRAN. China vs Taiwan is an equal fight, China vs Taiwan/1 US carrier group isnt. With the amount of US subs launching conventional tomahaks in the 2nd week, if Taiwan has an airforce left. The only real fear of the south china sea is the N Korea start a war they are not partipants in by week 2.
Invade Iran? Come on! While they got the young men to spare how do they get there?
What’s a million Chinese?
That’s the major point of Venezuela, Iran and Cuba in what seems to be all of a sudden. Its to limit China’s access to energy, get them out of Cuba before they can start that military base they are talking to the Cubans about and help us to achieve dominance in the AI race.
We also get forward movement on the Abraham Accords with a peaceful non nuclear Iran.