“One major concern is that China may try to take advantage of US engagement in the Middle East and try to invade Iran . US control of oil to China blocks this so regardless of anything else. expect the Trump Administration to make efforts to control the flow of oil to China to block Chinese aggression for the indefinite future.
China is going to have a hell of a time with Taiwan, do not think they have the deep blue navy to get more than 1000 to IRAN. China vs Taiwan is an equal fight, China vs Taiwan/1 US carrier group isnt. With the amount of US subs launching conventional tomahaks in the 2nd week, if Taiwan has an airforce left. The only real fear of the south china sea is the N Korea start a war they are not partipants in by week 2.
It’s like the emergency room doctor treating the stabbing victim who he recognized as the one who held him up with a knife 2 days earlier. “I don’t think you’re gonna make it”
The only real fear of the south china sea is the N Korea start a war they are not partipants in by week 2.”
That appears to be the calculation of the South Korean government. They elected not to participate in the recent US/Japan/SK naval and air defense drills. Seems obvious that they intend to “sit out” any PLA move against Taiwan.