My guess is there will be a negotiated agreement that on the surface looks good but will not last a year. Pres Trump has already abandoned the Iranians he urged on to revolution. So a temporary but positive looking nuke agreement is what I think he will settle for. He really is very uncomfortable with war and dead. He will choose a deal. What will make the deal go south is that the Iranians and others will recognize Pres Trump’s hatred of actual war.
the Iranians and others will recognize Pres Trump’s hatred of actual war.
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I’m not really worried about that because few others have the means to wage actual war, and everyone knows that the USA has lots of means to take out a leader or a country that do not involve a shooting war.
Asymmetric gorilla warfare is the bugaboo. The US has been baited into a couple of those wars since WWII. They all end badly. Trump knows this. He knows it’s a win for the mullahs if the USA puts boots on the ground there, and the mullahs get to have their own gorilla war with the USA.
That’s the war the USA needs to avoid.