Russia Will COLLAPSE Into 19 New Countries

Just like clockwork, all the Russian toadies show up. I dare anyone to tell me that FR hasn’t been infiltrated.

I don’t think 19. The Yakuts mights join with the Buryats and Mongolia as a Turco-Mongol state perhaps reaching out to Omsk, Sibr and vladivostok. Tatarstan, Chuvadia etc could be separate turkic republics but, as they are land locked are not feasible .

The speculation is interesting, but has gone on longer than some notice. Other speculation can be found about the "balkanization" of Europe, as of these United States. But for now, here's a sampling of the speculation about Russia balkanization, which has been going on since the invasion. Sourced and with hotlinks:

"Timothy Ash, an associate fellow at the international affairs think tank Chatham House [ Great Britain ], believes it's inevitable that Russian President Vladimir Putin and his army will be defeated by Ukraine. As the war head into its eleventh month, Ash said the real issue looming over Moscow's invasion is what will happen to Putin's Russia, and whether history will repeat itself."
Source: Russia Could Collapse Into ‘New States’ After Ukrainian Victory: Economist Newsweek, 23 January 2023
"Prime Minister of Estonia Kaja kallas says that the war in Ukraine must end with the defeat of Russia, the disintegration of the country and its division into smaller states. Kallas proposed a solution a week ago, the former president of Estonia Lennart Meren at the eponymous annual conference in Tallinn. According to the prime minister, Russia is made up of many different nations, and breaking it up into separate states would not be a bad thing."
Source: Estonian Prime Minister proposes breaking up Russia into "small states" Naapuriseura Ry, 25 April 2024
"The Jamestown Foundation's Janusz Bugajski [ Washington, DC ] would probably agree with this assessment: 'as a rump state, under intense international sanctions and shorn of its resource base in Siberia, [Russia] will have severely reduced capabilities to attack neighbors'."
Source: The Ukraine War might really break up the Russian Federation The Hill, 13 August 2023
"It is believed that Donald Trump can talk about this proposal in the meeting with Zelensky on Monday, 18 August 2025. In this way, Ukraine itself is now seen moving towards a loss-making deal, which had decided to fight a long battle with Russia at the instigation of America and NATO countries. Not only this, news outlets like CNN and New York Times have considered the meeting held in Alaska as a defeat for Donald Trump from a diplomatic point of view."
Source: Will Donald Trump break up Ukraine into pieces and give Crimea and two big cities to Russia? What is US’ plan? India.com, 18 August 2025
" 'Breakup boosters' — the term I use to describe those advocating for Russia's disintegration — tend to assume that regions in the Russian Federation all have aspirations for independence, but a recent analysis of popular support for autonomy across Russia's regions by Adam Lenton of Wake Forest University found a highly variable level of support." [ Op-Ed author is at City University of New York ]
Source: Wishful thinking Novaya Gazeta Europe, 19 November 2023
"Ever since Russia's attempt to take Kyiv and install a puppet government failed in the early days of the war, a defeat for the Kremlin in Ukraine has looked increasingly likely. What's stunning after almost a year of war, therefore, is the near-total absence of any discussion among politicians, policymakers, analysts, and journalists of the consequences of defeat for Russia. It is a dangerous lack of imagination, considering the potential for Russia's collapse and disintegration." [ Author is at Rutgers University-Newark ]
Source: t’s High Time to Prepare for Russia's Collapse Foreign Policy, 7 January 2023

It is interesting that so many comments and stances about this speculation reference nothing.

My comment # 34 specifically asked about the YouTube content creator, because the channel is wholly anonymous. The OP did not respond to a query about this.

But a continuing "pastebin" examination of the "attribution sources" for the YouTube channel shows it borrows from Wiki creative content stuff, and even Chinese sources, and, as above, Britain's Chatham House. It even "borrows" from other YouTube videos without proper attribution as to source.

Anonymous sources are anonymous sources. Feel good narratives, on any side, are not reality, though of course such stuff gets "clicks." Speculation is speculation. And propaganda -- Russian, Ukrainian, European, American and beyond -- is sometimes informative and mostly not.

Actually, I would suggest you read Piłsudski or other Russian, Belarussian, polish etc writers from the early 1900s.

The thought that the Russian Empire would collapse has been the thought for a long time as, like the Mongol, it was built on blood. It first disintegrated in 1927, then again in 1990.

The thing is that the Chechens have a long history, almost as old as the Georgian (3000 years) . Interestingly teh Chechens, Dagestanis etc were, after being Nakh ie pagans, they became somewhat Christian under Georgian influence.

Then, when the Russians came and in the 1700s started pressing them culturally and forcing them to convert, that they became heavily Sunni Muslim.

When Russia does collapse the Caucasus peoples will break away. The Tatars in Tatarstan, Chuvash etc have been so much a part of Russian civilization for so long.

Did you know that when the Muscowites conquered Kazań and Astrakhan, the Tatar rulers converted and became the Russian aristocracy? By 17711, nearly one third of the aristocracy were of Tatar descent.

No one will “strip mine” Central Russia, even if it were to break up. The average temp is 37 degrees. Winter goes below minus 67, the temp were the few schools there shut down.

There are no roads, no power - just endless forests with some dirt tracks between settlements. Then there is the clan-led crime problem which makes the US outbreak look like a picnic.

Pretty much the same weather and terrain reasons why Alaska and the Norther Territories in Canada have not been “strip mined”.

--- "The thought that the Russian Empire would collapse has been the thought for a long time as, like the Mongol, it was built on blood. It first disintegrated in 1927, then again in 1990."

No question. Governments rise / integrate and governments fall ' disintegrate. The history of the world is in part the history of this reality.

My point was to look at the modern day theme. Kallas' as well as a number of British and American opinions.

"As to Józef Piłsudski, I surely enjoyed some of his quotes via Wikiquote. Second from the end is "tasty." Then there's something interesting in the "quotes about" section:

"General Josef Pilsudski, Poland's Cromwell, marched on Warsaw in 1926 to become de facto dictator until his death in 1935, when much, though not all, of his power passed to another soldier, Edward Smigly-Rydz." --- Niall Ferguson

The theme of this thread is modern -- "Russia Will COLLAPSE Into 19 New Countries" complete with a future tense auxiliary verb. As before, my comment was rather specific.

The YouTube channel posted by another Freeper, MinorityRepublican, has no references as to be verified, but further examination -- because I am curious -- shows that video, and indeed all the channel's videos, are compilations of unsourced ( but eventually trackable ) info, including all sorts of "Creative commons" and unattributed other YouTube videos. Without being able to verify something -- in line with President Reagan's adage -- verifying becomes challenging, but not impossible.

And forecasting the future is at best an inexact game. Otherwise, Paul Ehrlich, Al Gore and Michael Mann should be seen as truth tellers in forecasting climate change. I don't tend to forecast. Some forecast the dissolution of the EU -- sources, if you want -- and some forecast the dissolution of these United States -- also sources, if you wish. I'm in the "wait and see" camp in much.

Stay well.

“Yup. Fatally though, as even a few minutes of watching Oliver Stone’s documentary on Putin shows, he is an autocrat surrounded by toadies.”

If you are not a yes man you get the heave-ho. If you give Putin accurate assessments that differ from what he thinks. He will tolerate you for a while, then he will grow tired of you, get rid of you. Obama has admitted that he always thinks he is the smartest man in the room. Putin is the same.
In UK there is a scramble to be Royal adjacent. Just to be invited to a Royal’s garden party gives you strong bragging rights. In Russia all oligarchs, businessmen, FSB, political hacks want to be as Putin adjacent as possible.

Thanks for the tip on Stone’s “Putin Interviews”. I found them on a “grey” site.