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New Hires Fell to 16-Year Low in September
Armstrong Economics ^ | 3 Oct 25 | Martin Armstrong

Posted on 10/03/2025 5:41:54 AM PDT by delta7

The condition of America’s workforce remains undetermined, as the Bureau of Labor Statistics is currently not operational. The non-farm payrolls report will be delayed even if the unlikely event that the government reconciles today. The Chicago Federal Reserve compiled a separate report that indicates a contraction in the workforce.

Unemployment remains stagnant at 4.34%, up a mere 0.01% from August. Layoffs also remained relatively unchanged at 2.1%. We have not reached the point of mass layoffs where companies can no longer afford to pay their employees. Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported in a separate analysis that layoffs declined 37% in September and fell 26% YoY. The company reported that planned furloughs are at their highest level since 2020, with 946,426 cuts between Q1 and Q3.

Companies are fighting to retain employees, and there are no signs of expansion. New hires for the year totaled 204,939, marking a massive 58% annual decline. The US economy has not seen such a slow pace of hiring since 2009 in the aftermath of the Great Recession. Yet, the jobs data under the Biden Administration hid the real problem as the PUBLIC sector multiplied while the private sector stagnated.

The ADP report that is used as a confirmation of the BLS has been closely monitored in the wake of the government shutdown. The private sector eliminated 32,000 positions in September–a glaring warning sign as the markets were predicting an expansion of over 50,000. Private payrolls for August were revised to show a loss of 3,000 jobs, after data initially indicated a gain of 54,000. The ISM manufacturing survey index slightly rose to 49.1 in September from 48.7 but remains in depleted territory.

Small-and medium-sized businesses have been hit the hardest. Large corporations with over 500 employees did, in fact, add 33,000 jobs, offset by the number of layoffs smaller companies were forced to endure. Wage increases for workers who changed jobs in September fell to 6.6% from 7.1% MoM. Annual wage growth for job-stayers fell flat.

“Despite the strong economic growth we saw in the second quarter, this month’s release further validates what we’ve been seeing in the labor market, that US employers have been cautious with hiring,” ADP chief economist Nela Richardson said in a statement.

The Federal Reserve will likely state that it needs the official BLS data to make an informed decision. Powell is careful with his words. Rate cuts will not entice companies to expand, despite Washington’s insistence that they would, as employers lack confidence in the future.


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KEYWORDS: employment
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To: delta7
I left out the sarcasm tag on my post. It was Reagan's 2nd summer and the recovery was not evident in the media.

Hopefully this time around we get another Trump-like President in 2028 to keep the recovery going, and minimize government handouts.

21 posted on 10/03/2025 7:21:13 AM PDT by Bernard ("Nothing is as expensive as that which the government provides for free." - Ronald Reagan)
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To: delta7

Still seeing lots of Help Wanted signs...


22 posted on 10/03/2025 7:25:30 AM PDT by goodnesswins (Make educ institutions return to the Mission...reading, writing, math...not Opinions & propaganda)
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To: delta7

When I saw “New Hires,” I immediately thought of Hires Root Beer.


23 posted on 10/03/2025 7:33:43 AM PDT by mass55th (“Courage is being scared to death, but saddling up anyway.” ― John Wayne)
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To: delta7

American was still great in 1982. Reagan!


24 posted on 10/03/2025 7:34:49 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: delta7

Fewer foreign hires - good day!


25 posted on 10/03/2025 7:55:03 AM PDT by Mlheureux
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To: Az Joe
Don't forget all the govt. workers that have been fired, laid off or resigned. That contributes to the unemployment rate.

And it aggravates me to know end that the only rate that is noted is the u3 and not the u6.

26 posted on 10/03/2025 8:10:45 AM PDT by Parmy
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To: delta7

27 posted on 10/03/2025 8:12:11 AM PDT by newfreep ("There is no race problem...just a problem race")
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To: delta7
One of the main reasons for technology in the laborforce is to reduce the human labor as much as possible. Everyday, we innovate and create more productive technology.

We are innovating our way out of many sectors with less humans. All those androids that Elon wants to make isn't to provide human jobs and a wonderful community.

28 posted on 10/03/2025 8:14:50 AM PDT by Theoria
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To: Opinionated Blowhard

I follow the various jobs/recruiting/ work echoes on Reddit. .It iscrally awful out there. . .


29 posted on 10/03/2025 8:18:04 AM PDT by Salgak (This is a Triumph. I'm making a note here, Huge Success! It's hard to overstate, my satisfaction. )
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To: delta7

Criminal conviction
In 1999, Japanese fraud investigators accused Armstrong of collecting money from Japanese investors, improperly commingling these funds with funds from other investors, and using the fresh money to cover losses he had incurred while trading.[13] United States prosecutors called it a three-billion-dollar Ponzi scheme.[14] Allegedly assisting Armstrong in his scheme was the Republic New York Corporation, which produced false account statements to reassure Armstrong’s investors. In 2001, the bank agreed to pay US$606 million as restitution for its part in the scandal.[14]

Armstrong was indicted in 1999 and ordered by Judge Richard Owen to turn over fifteen million dollars in gold bars and antiquities bought with the fund’s money; the list included bronze helmets and a bust of Julius Caesar.[15][16] Armstrong produced some of the items but claimed the others were not in his possession; this led to several contempt of court charges brought by the SEC and the CFTC, for which he served seven years in jail until he reached a plea bargain with federal prosecutors.[17][18][19] Under the terms of the agreement, Armstrong admitted to deceiving corporate investors and improperly commingling client funds—actions that according to prosecutors resulted in commodities losses of more than seven hundred million dollars—and was sentenced to five years in prison.[20][15]

He was released from federal custody on 2 September 2011 after serving a total of eleven years behind bars.[21][22]

The case against Armstrong was finally closed in 2017, with the distribution of about $80 million to claim holders by the receiver, according to court filings.[23] Armstrong appealed the refusal of the receiver to transport his remaining possessions from storage lockers in New York and Pennsylvania to him in Florida, but the appeal failed in 2019. Concerning his felony conviction, Armstrong is “unrepentant”, according to Bloomberg.[1]

Hidden rare coins cache
In 2014, a day laborer sold a box of 58 rare coins to a Philadelphia thrift shop for $6,000, which he said he had found while clearing out the basement of a house in New Jersey. Three years later, in 2017, when the thrift shop announced they were to auction the coins—actually valued at $2.5 million, Armstrong came forward to declare himself the rightful owner. He claimed that he had hidden the coins in his mother’s old house to take them “off the books” in anticipation of the public offering of his firm. The thrift shop sued Armstrong, asking the court to declare the thrift shop as rightful owners while Armstrong counter-sued, also seeking ownership. In 2019, the US government learned about the coins and claimed them as part of the treasure hoard Armstrong had refused to hand over in 1999, and for which he had served seven years in jail for contempt. In addition to rare coins, the treasure hoard, valued at $12.9 million, included 102 gold bars, 699 gold coins, and an ancient bust of Julius Caesar.[24][25]

Armstrong was deposed and, according to Receiver Alan M. Cohen, Armstrong admitted hiding the coins. However, Armstrong’s attorneys said in a court filing that Armstrong did not make this admission. The auction house now possesses the coins and the US government has filed suit to take possession.[24][25]

Wiki


30 posted on 10/03/2025 11:14:48 AM PDT by TexasGator (The 750 hp Florida Gnat)
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To: Az Joe

Leaving? What?


31 posted on 10/03/2025 11:18:48 AM PDT by central_va ( I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: central_va

who?


32 posted on 10/03/2025 12:27:40 PM PDT by Az Joe (Live free or die)
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