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The AfD’s Western Breakthrough: How Germany’s Establishment Lost Control
The European Conservative ^ | 17 Sep, 2025 | Sabine Beppler-Spahl

Posted on 09/18/2025 12:08:47 PM PDT by MtnClimber

Whenever Germans head to the polls, one question dominates all debate: How strong will the populist AfD become this time? Last Sunday’s district and mayoral elections in North Rhine-Westphalia (NRW)—Germany’s most populous state—provided a stark answer.

While Germany’s state broadcaster spoke of a “sigh of relief” when the ruling CDU emerged victorious with 33.3% of votes, keeping the AfD in third place at 14.5%, this narrative of triumph masks a far more troubling reality for Germany’s political elite.

Minister President Henrik Wüst, despite his CDU’s electoral win, admitted he could no longer “sleep peacefully” given the AfD’s result. His anxiety is well-founded. Though his party technically won, the CDU achieved its worst post-war result in the state. Meanwhile, the traditionally dominant SPD collapsed to a mere 22.1%—also its worst performance ever, following an already disastrous showing five years prior.

The AfD, by contrast, nearly tripled its 2020 result under circumstances that would have crippled any other party.

Fighting with One Hand Tied This was no level playing field. The AfD’s structural weaknesses in western Germany meant the party could only field candidates in 60% of district constituencies. In 40% of constituencies, voters had no AfD option at all. The disparity was even more pronounced in mayoral races, where the party managed candidates in just 86 of 373 districts.

Yet where the AfD did compete, it struck fear into the establishment—most spectacularly in Gelsenkirchen, Hagen, and Duisburg, where AfD candidates forced runoff elections against CDU and SPD opponents. Hermann Binkert of polling institute Insa called this a “significant result,” noting that parties typically perform worse in local elections than federal ones. He believes these results signal the AfD’s potential ceiling of 33% nationwide support.

The AfD’s candidate shortage isn’t merely organizational incompetence—it’s the product of systematic intimidation.

(Excerpt) Read more at europeanconservative.com ...


TOPICS: Society
KEYWORDS: leftism

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1 posted on 09/18/2025 12:08:47 PM PDT by MtnClimber
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To: MtnClimber

Only seven deaths among AfD candidates. The left says “what is the problem?”


2 posted on 09/18/2025 12:09:00 PM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of scenery, wildlife and climbing, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: MtnClimber

No kidding, the German election system is literally designed to prevent an election from causing the government to change as a result of a vote. They have dozens of diabolical tricks to prevent that. We designed that system after WWII for them.


3 posted on 09/18/2025 12:13:22 PM PDT by DesertRhino (When men on the chessboard, get up and tell you where to go…)
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To: MtnClimber

Well, you know age is a risk factor when you put in people who are all really, really old so .... oh wait, I was thinking of US Senate races. Well damn, these were all young. Huh.


4 posted on 09/18/2025 12:16:48 PM PDT by pepsi_junkie ("We want no Gestapo or Secret Police. F. B. I. is tending in that direction." - Harry S Truman)
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To: MtnClimber
Yet where the AfD did compete, it struck fear into the establishment.

The above is Drive-By Media speak for more AfD to "suddenly pass away."

5 posted on 09/18/2025 12:17:17 PM PDT by Ronaldus Magnus III (Do, or do not, there is no try )
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To: MtnClimber

The “establishment” will unleash their muslim invaders to crush and kill any AfD member. The establishment already killed several AfD members.


6 posted on 09/18/2025 1:13:16 PM PDT by Organic Panic ('Was I molested. I think so' - Ashley Biden in response to her father joining her in the shower. D)
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To: MtnClimber

I saw a podcast on this. SPD, which ruled North Rhine-Westphalia for 40 years from the 60s to the early 2000s, completely collapsed. There is evidence that the same thing is happening inn other SPD strongholds. That is surprising (at least to me) because I would have thought that AfD would take votes from the CDU, not SPD.


7 posted on 09/18/2025 1:27:48 PM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard (When the people find that they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.)
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To: MtnClimber

Bkmk


8 posted on 09/18/2025 3:05:41 PM PDT by sauropod
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