I don’t get it. That place has been around 100 years. They know the Guadalupe floods periodically. Perhaps a half-dozen times in a 100 year period. Why would they build cabins in a flood plain?
I’ve been in Texas 30 years and every year, somewhere in the state, it’s the same sad story: someone thought their vehicle could make the crossing during the storm. Somebody’s vacation cabin or bungalow on the river’s edge gets swept away in the flood.
The radio is constant in Central Texas with “Turn around. Don’t drown” PSAs.
No one knows where the rain will fall. But the rivers and channels where the rain will flow into are all known.
The weather pattern in the Texas Hill Country is familiar and well-documented: a year or two of drought followed by intense, often sudden rainfall.
That heavy rain may not flood the river or creek nearest to you, but it almost certainly means that flooding will occur somewhere in the region. This cycle is predictable, and its risks are neither new nor surprising.