Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Terrifying data reveals exact date when US' natural-born population will 'go extinct'
The Daily Mail ^ | 17 May 2025 | EMILY JOSHU STERNE

Posted on 05/20/2025 8:49:29 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

America's natural-born population could edge toward extinction in just 500 years, startling new data suggests.

Not taking into account immigration or major changes in death rates, statisticians predict this group could be cut by at least one-third every 75 years.

Based on the current trends, recent Census data predicts the natural-born population in the US will be back to levels of the post-Civil War era in the next 300 years, with just 60million people.

And around the year 2600, this population could dwindle to only 10million, a number not seen since the early 1800s when the country bounced back from the Revolutionary War.

Dr Hall highlights America's flailing fertility rate, which was laid bare in a report last month by the CDC.

The report found women on average had 1.6 births each in 2023, well below the 2.1 needed to sustain population growth.

Political leaders are warning of dire consequences.

Elon Musk - who has 14 children with four different women - called the decline 'the biggest threat to civilization' and has warned it 'will lead to mass extinction of entire nations.'

Vice President JD Vance has also claimed that 'our people aren't having enough children to replace themselves. That should bother us.'

The American birth rate has become so dire that the White House has proposed offering a $5,000 'baby bonus' to every US mother after she gives birth.

The CDC data shows women on average in 2023 are having 25 percent fewer children than their mothers and 50 percent fewer than their grandmothers.

Teenagers have seen the largest drop in pregnancies, with rates decreasing by nearly 75 percent in the past 30 years.

Births among women in their twenties have dropped by nearly one-third.

(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Society
KEYWORDS: stupidconjecture; wellbye
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-33 next last

1 posted on 05/20/2025 8:49:29 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

Latest predictions show 45% of women between the ages of 25 and 44 are expected to be single and childless by 2030.


2 posted on 05/20/2025 8:54:01 PM PDT by vikingd00d (chown -R us ~you/base)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican
Nope.

I will make only one prediction. Current trends will NOT continue to the year 2600.

Imagine predicting the present based on the trends of 1400.

3 posted on 05/20/2025 8:54:23 PM PDT by Salman (Lasu Eŭropon bruli!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: vikingd00d
Latest predictions show 45% of women between the ages of 25 and 44 are expected to be single and childless by 2030.

What did you expect? They all truly believe that they should be dating either Brad Pitt or Tom Cruise lol.

4 posted on 05/20/2025 8:57:41 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

I believe the most presumptuous item of this entire article is the USofA will survive another 500 years.


5 posted on 05/20/2025 8:58:21 PM PDT by JParris
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: All

This is most distressing to me. I’m thinking of migrating to a deserted island to get away from the shrinking population. I am deathly afraid of the upcoming zombie apocalypse. This fear started when I caught my wife sleep walking. I have way too much stress in my life. I’ve tried everything. I gave up drugs to concentrate on my drinking. I had other bad habits that I’ve been trying to quit. I tried nicotine gum so I could quit the patch and ended up smoking cigars to be able to quit the nicotine gum so that didn’t work out like I planned.


6 posted on 05/20/2025 9:09:01 PM PDT by BipolarBob (I worked at the circus as The Human Cannonball, until they fired me.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

This is stupid.


7 posted on 05/20/2025 9:09:02 PM PDT by Phineas1962 (Courage!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

Data and analysis from an economist at the famous Daily Mail...
IMHO, BS!


8 posted on 05/20/2025 9:11:30 PM PDT by SuperLuminal (Where is rabble-rising Sam Adams now that we need him? Is his name Trump, now?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

Because we should believe every damn fool thing we read that some “expert pulls out of his tuchus.


9 posted on 05/20/2025 9:12:07 PM PDT by JayGalt (Fight! Fight! Fight!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

Modern states encourage godlessness and the destruction of the nuclear family, take away all of the man’s authority but still make him 100% legally responsible for everything, encourage women to be whoring around with Chads and Tyrones and following careers (many will later abandon) during their most fertile years,

And they wonder why things are going the way they are.

No man in his right mind should consider marriage under the current social climate.


10 posted on 05/20/2025 9:18:53 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; not averse to Going Bronson.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

Females grossly unrealistic (and unearned/undeserved) high standards, and way too many, many, many of them.


11 posted on 05/20/2025 9:20:44 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; not averse to Going Bronson.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican
I'm one of those who has been concerned about low birthrates a good deal longer than most, but extrapolating a current trend for centuries is ridiculous.

Of course, the trends could get worse - that's been the trend of the population trends, so to speak - in which case their date is too far out. But more likely some dissident subpopulations will buck the trend and by default will re-establish a positive trend simply by replacing the other extinct subpopulations. (Think Amish vs. the LGBTQ crowd for example.)

12 posted on 05/20/2025 10:06:01 PM PDT by EnderWiggin1970
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

Immigrants from the third world will fill the void.


13 posted on 05/20/2025 10:17:37 PM PDT by Nachoman (Proudly oppressing people of color since 1957.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BipolarBob
"I tried nicotine gum so I could quit the patch and ended up smoking cigars to be able to quit the nicotine gum so that didn’t work out like I planned."

Hey! You got LSD on my ludes!!!

14 posted on 05/20/2025 11:08:11 PM PDT by The Duke (Not without incident.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican
The American birth rate has become so dire that the White House has proposed offering a $5,000 'baby bonus' to every US mother husband after she his lawfully wedded wife gives birth.

Then it would work!

Regards,

15 posted on 05/20/2025 11:43:13 PM PDT by alexander_busek (Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Secret Agent Man
take away all of the man’s authority but still make him 100% legally responsible for everything,

Yes yes...boo hoo for us men. We surrendered our authority and now they won't give it back. WAAAAAAA.

Nothing proves the wimpishness of modern American men more than this.

Seems to me the truly stronger sex would stop whining about lack of authority and just take it back.

16 posted on 05/21/2025 2:02:50 AM PDT by Claud
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

Another dishonest headline


17 posted on 05/21/2025 2:06:26 AM PDT by enumerated (81 million votes my ass)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: The Duke

“Hey! You got LSD on my ludes!!!”
.
Marijuana use produces miscarriages.

(I was a witness to an acquainted couple).


18 posted on 05/21/2025 2:42:37 AM PDT by Does so ("The guilty flee when no man pursueth"....🇺🇦...Dem☭¢ruauat... ∅ one ™ ¿ ¡ ☞≣ ½¼)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican

I cannot believe this for one second. The past years of declining birth rates are not a good indicator for future birth rates. Cultures change, people change, and that is not predictable. The economy has a lot to do with less births recently, the cost of raising a child, costs of housing, education costs through the roof, etc. There have been declines and rebounds all throughout history. One thing though, if the decline is mostly among the dems then there is nothing to worry about.


19 posted on 05/21/2025 2:59:42 AM PDT by Omnivore-Dan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MinorityRepublican
I have reservations with how they figure who counts as natural-born after 500 years. It's enough to make an Indian Italian cry.


20 posted on 05/21/2025 3:09:59 AM PDT by KarlInOhio (May Rachel Zegler and Disney never know profits.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-33 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson