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To: Jumper
In fact the next 18-months are going to settle, on the battlefield, the question of Ukrainian existance. It will be a rump state, and Moscow will be the one determining who can run for office in Kiev. The Zelinski govt will go into exile in England…

Russia has been trying to do that for over three years and has failed. Russia does not have the strength to force the issue. Ukraine may not have the ability to regain the territories militarily, but Russia does not have the ability to break Ukraine.

56 posted on 04/22/2025 6:20:27 PM PDT by Petrosius
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To: Petrosius

No, Russia has been focused on destroying the AFU. Only the West is obsessed with land acquisition.

Be patient. You have watched first the FABs destroy every single NATO fortified city that created the stalement, ending it.

Russia has employed missile technolgy.

Russia has surpassed Ukraine in Drone Tech and Tactics, plus they have reduced AFU drone use to the lowest levels in two years.

Russian aviation is again in the skies over the battlefield. Russian ships are in the Black Sea.

During those past three years, Russia has gone from just 190K involved and a military of under 500k worldwide to a military of 1.7m men. More impressive is that fact that since 2022, Russia has planned and began implementaion of creating a 2.2m man army by July 2026 organizaed into four (4) Corps sized 500k Combined Arms Armies for the final battle in defeating the west in Ukraine.

Russia relies mostly on people signing contracts, and they do not force conscripts into the war. This is the opposite of Ukraine who is desperate. Russia is concerned with ensuring her soldiers do not feel like cannon fodder, but that their lives are not wasted like Uke’s.

Uke’s are ordered into trenches or fortified positions and wait for the artillery, drones or missiles to blown them up. Ninty percent of Uke’s killed die from long range weapons.

It is a slow slog, but it is effective and Russian lives are preserved the best as possible in war.

Now I am not saying that Russia will not assault positions with the high loss of life, but that is not the common day-do-day tactics. Patience is the key to killing from a distance.

July 2025 is coming. Will there be reports that the Russian military is getting closer to 2m men under arms. All those men are equiped with new or refurbished equipment.

Russia can absorb tank losses. Did you know Russia repairs each tank an average of 7 times before it lost? Stupid Ukraine lost all their equipment in the 2023 Summer Offensive and in Kursk; Uke’s have no patience and they do not value the lives or the money and equipment in their losing war effort. They are like drunks in bar burning thru their pockets.

Even if Trump continues to provide money to Ukraine where will the weapons come from? S Korea is out after the impeachment.

Face it, Ukraine is not able to sustain its current 2000km front lines more than 75 days now. At some future point this summer or fall, Ukraine will be smashed. Reports they still field 800k soldiers is suspect. In March the Uke high command said they only had 400k combat soldiers.

When Trump walks away from Biden’s War becasue the Brits/French and Zelinski want to fight on their own, so be it.

There will come a day when Russia destroys Ukraine with thousands of missiles. Then they will destroy every 4-6 weeks whatever they can find; risne repeat.

There are even rumors that 1100 tactiacal nuke targets have been discussed by the Russians. I am assuming these are neutron bombs that kill with 96 hours with radiation, rather than destructive power.

I would bet at some point Russia actually declares War on Ukraine becasue Zelinski is not a legimate president.


62 posted on 04/22/2025 6:56:51 PM PDT by Jumper
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