Russia get Crimea, Russia leaves all other Ukrainian territory, Ukraine agrees not to enter NATO and gives US rare earth mineral rights. US will then have to protect Ukraine to a certain extent in order to actually obtain the minerals, many of which are currently under Ukrainian land Russia is now occupying.
This is my prediction.
The USA will get mineral rights.
Ukraine will make a deal for gas to go through their pipelines to help the EU out....and Germany in particular.
Russia will get the areas in fee...and they will become part of Russia proper.
Why...because of something "Z" said...It went something like this...Russia can have it...and after we're part of NATO, we'll start a tussle and get it back.
I think the minerals will be only on lands now held by Ukraine. Russia will make their own deal.
Russia will get the Donbass and Crimea. No way will they settle for not getting what they won.