2026 will be interesting, with the slimmest majorities in the house, and the historical patterns, and Trump not being directly on the ballot odd the GOP keep the house are low.
The Senate is probably safe, the GOP may lose some seats, we shall see.
It will be interesting to see how the next 2 years goes. Clearly the establishment media’s influence is waining, but that doesn’t mean the left won’t adjust.
So far, Trump on the ballot is a huge net win for the GOP as he almost always outperforms the GOP as a whole and brings in voters they just can’t. When he’s not on the ballot they do worse.
It will be interesting to see how 2026 plays out. Currently Trump is more popular than he’s ever been, at least in opinion polling since becoming President in 2017. The false veneer the establishment media has been keeping in place to protect and project the far left world view as the majority has fell away, and fell away quickly so it will be interesting to see where things stand in 2026.
Trump and MAGA have successfully removed many Uniparty/Establishment hacks, but don’t kid yourself, there are a lot left.. its unlikely they will all get purged in 1 or 2 cycles. Political reality is, there will be some of them around for a long long long time to come no matter how popular Trump or MAGA are.
I am excited and intrigued to see how 2026 is going to play out. Trump currently is riding high, the left is in complete disarray.. but don’t think they won’t regroup. Also don’t kid yourself, there will be mistakes... its only a matter of time before a US Citizen gets caught up in a raid, or some other thing.. you can’t do anything at this scale and not have mistakes happen... the question is really how the Public will react to it.
So far though, the shift in the public is huge, and if Trump is able to keep that momentum and support, 2026 certainly could break the historical trends. We will see.
This is not to impugn your analysis, but it would be wonderful if political analysis could include the obvious presence of fraud in American elections. Some states are doing more than others to address it, or have entrenched, already existing fraud (like Georgia) that may be impossible to overcome.
Trump will not be on the ballot in 2026. That will probably restore fraud to its rightful place as more of a decider of elections in the US. However, Trump seems to be working nationally, at least in one area so far, to combat it.
Thanks for your terrific work.
Trump needs to put himself on the ballot.
He should trumpet every initiative--as he is already doing. Next, he should hold an oval office address frequently to highlight the successes--especially the big ones on immigration and the economy. Make it very clear that this only continues if people send him a Congress he can work with.
Nationalize it. Make it about continuing the MAGA agenda by highlighting the improvements. Draw a sharp contrast to the Democrat agenda and their failures.
What needs to happen in 2025-26, is to investigate vote fraud in 2020 and 2024, with an eye to dismantling the Democrat fraud machine as much as possible for 2026 and 2028.
Republicans need to field good, competent candidates for every seat.
I think it would be a worthwhile project and effort to expand Scott Presler’s registration and get out the Republican vote efforts in PA to all states, with emphasis upon races most vulnerable and or likely to be flipped Republican. The greatest base for this effort to start with will be great success during this time, now, and being able to show the American people that campaign promises made and kept are helping America recover and thrive.
Very thoughtful and informed analysis there. Thank you, HamiltonJay!