10,000-12,000 houses isn’t really a lot of building for a metro area outside of California....about 1,483,000 permits were pulled in 2024 for US as a whole. While it is a good year in past 20 years, 12,000 homes were started in every month of the 1980s in orange county to the south. As a good portion of the exterior covering and roofs are going to steel if they are to be insured again.
The limitation is not lumber, but permits and manpower to rebuild.
I disagree. Let me explain.
10-12000 additional building permits EXTRA would be a lot for ANY US metro area in one year. Although, it is not conceivable that all of these will be done in ONE year.
According to Random Lengths Yardstick(a lumber industry publication) the metro area of Los Angeles had 12553 building permits through October of 2024(10 months). So, it would almost DOUBLE the house construction IF they were all built in one year.
For comparison the Dallas/Ft Worth metro area had 61723 permits in the same period. The largest in the USA.
Houston 55953
NYC 48063
Phoenix 38818
Atlanta 34555
Austin 27333
Charlotte 22028
Orlando 20016
Tampa 19113
Washington DC 19000
Those are the TOP ten metro areas in the country for building Permits. All the rest are less than that.
San Fran was 5181. Boise 7676. Boston 9779.
So, adding 10-12,000 starts to any US metro area is a significant amount.
Hell, the paperwork alone will eat up an entire forest!