For the non-readers (I’m often guilty too, so not judging!)
“Let us not forget that the Minsk Agreement was supposed to let the Donbas vote on their own separation, as it took place with the break up of Yugoslavia according to ethnic lines.”
Many of our sources throughout the former Yugoslavia states are turning toward Russia than the West. Scandals, corruption, and constant broken promises are part of the shift toward the nationalistic view we see also rising in Germany. Most of the surrounding nations around Ukraine see them as an unethical group of people who are untrustworthy and the most corrupt in the world. they are baffled that the West is supporting Ukraine, and that is also contributing to the shift toward Russia.”
Markets also raised their expectations of European Central Bank rate cuts and see a more than 50% chance of a larger-than-usual 50 bp rate cut in December. The euro has weakened against the dollar as Europe and NATO vow to keep the war going after Donald Trump’s victory. Recent escalations in fighting between Russia and Ukraine and political uncertainty in Germany, the Eurozone’s biggest economy, have further weighed on the Euro in recent weeks. Our model still shows that the Eurozone will break apart as all centralized dictatorial forms of government inevitably fall. The same fate will shared by the USA.
This is a global crisis. Is it the same cast of characters ? I need a program