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(Vanity) My final estimate of the final vote.
11/12/2024 | AZJoe

Posted on 11/12/2024 4:09:21 PM PST by Az Joe

Current numbers https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/President/


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: 2024; estimate; vote
2024

Trump 79,000,000 +/- 100,000 (49.8%) Harris 76,500,000 +/- 100,000 (48.3%) Other 3,000,000 +/- 100,000 (2%)

Total 158,500,000 =/- 100,000

2020

Biden 81,266,000 Trump 74,225,000 Other 2,100,000

Total 158,614,475

1 posted on 11/12/2024 4:09:21 PM PST by Az Joe
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To: Az Joe

* “Other” should have been 3,100,000 for 2020


2 posted on 11/12/2024 4:11:45 PM PST by Az Joe (Live free or die)
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To: Az Joe

Would be remarkable if Harris pulled over 76 million. That would put her in 4th place of all time - Biden, Trump, Trump, Harris.

Which is sort of to be expected as the population grows but these numbers blow away what we saw during 2000-2008. In 2008 Obama got about 69 mil.


3 posted on 11/12/2024 4:11:56 PM PST by monkeyshine (live and let live is dead)
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To: monkeyshine

There are about 7-8 million ballots outstanding, over 3 million of them in CA alone


4 posted on 11/12/2024 4:15:58 PM PST by Az Joe (Live free or die)
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To: Az Joe

Yeah seems accurate. CA had been breaking 59% to 39% (plus/minus) with 2% for others last time I checked, so it’s safe to assume that number sticks. RFKj at 1.1% last a checked.

Some House races feel like horse races they are neck and neck battling the lead with only 81% counted as of this morning.


5 posted on 11/12/2024 4:20:01 PM PST by monkeyshine (live and let live is dead)
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To: Az Joe

shocking at even at your 79 million number, Trump would still have lost to Biden in 2020 with his unbelievable 81 million number


6 posted on 11/12/2024 4:28:24 PM PST by TexasFreeper2009
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To: Az Joe

Trump won, won over 300 EV, won the popular vote, but I was also hoping he would finish with at least 50.0000001% of the popular vote, something Clinton never managed.


7 posted on 11/12/2024 4:29:20 PM PST by Burma Jones
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To: Az Joe

2.5 million left in CA


8 posted on 11/12/2024 4:45:56 PM PST by BigEdLB ( Let’s go Brandon)
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To: BigEdLB

No, at least 3.5 million


9 posted on 11/12/2024 5:23:34 PM PST by Az Joe (Live free or die)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Yes, cheating is hard to beat


10 posted on 11/12/2024 5:24:05 PM PST by Az Joe (Live free or die)
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To: Burma Jones

Yeah, me too. I hope I’m wrong


11 posted on 11/12/2024 5:24:35 PM PST by Az Joe (Live free or die)
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To: Az Joe

So, no missing votes from 2020.

5 million of Biden voters in 2020 switched to Trump or voted for others.


12 posted on 11/12/2024 6:45:08 PM PST by Roadrunner383
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To: Roadrunner383

It should be noted that the population of the nation has grown about 8 million or so since 2020.


13 posted on 11/12/2024 9:25:30 PM PST by Az Joe (Live free or die)
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