Vance has been talking about the frozen conflict strategy for almost a year.
Key word here is “talking”. Why would we need to re-arm the Ukraine if Putin more or less gets what he wants which is Donbass and Donestk, no NATO membership, no nukes. I’m expecting a re- draw of the map, a formal agreement, and a neutral zone. Putin wants this over as bad as Zelensky does.
I just don’t see how such a zone will work. Who’s gonna contribute peacemaker troops that both sides will accept? In the past, “peacemaker” troops have almost always proven near useless. How can loads of stealthy autonomous drones that don’t need GPS to navigate be prevented from getting in the zone or crossing it? How wide will this zone be? Will it just be an animal preserve? An adequate surveillance network - holy crap. That could take 5 years to build and still have holes in it. (Israel knows something about the difficulties of trying to wall off an area.)
Is Ukraine just supposed to give up the oil and gas reserves that were set to power its future?
If Pooty comes out of this with any perceived gain, what happens with Taiwan? Korea? Philippines / South China Sea? Can Europe stay stable? (I highly doubt it.)
Many, many tough questions to answer...