🙏 until after 11/5.
She always was leading Cartel Gallego, push polls are always used against republicans.
Go Kari!!! It took the far-left a long time and a lot of lies to get rid of another Phoenix TV personality, J.D. Hayworth, once he got elected the first time. It’s too bad he still isn’t in Congress for us. He put Americans first.
WOW, did she really gain 5-8 points?
People. Pro life Abortion argument is a political loser. Women guard that right like we guard the second amendment. Please stay off of it. It costs us many elections over the years. It makes us look like controls freaks. No one likes to be told what to do. No one!!
But…..Here’s how you make your political point effectively. .Tell them your pro choice. But also tell them aborting your baby is murder. If you’re ok murdering your any, go for it.
It’s the best pro-life argument I’ve even used but it doesn’t trigger women because you’re not telling them they can’t do it. The word murder really hits home. Be smart.
That poll haa it 46 45...they aren’t picking up his support
Maricopa County.
Seductive vixen. Making you think you have a chance.
noooooooooooooooooooo this cannot be happening.
kari lake is an evil vile person... / sarc.
go kari go.
Yep, she sure is.
I am praying she succeeds.
Go Kari!!
This entire election is about abortion.
The mass of polls shows Lake closing the gap. This is where my Rule of 6 kicks in. Continued momentum (up to 3 points) PLUS bias in the polling average (up to 3 points) means Lake has a real chance. Also Brown in Nevada.
The Demoncrats are circling the wagons. As far as President is concerned, they figure it’s the blue wall states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona look lost to Trump, and Nevada doesn’t have enough Electoral Votes to make a difference. The problem for the Democrats is that there are Senate seats and Congressional seats in play.
Chuck Schumer has money independent of Harris (as does Mitch McConnell independent of Trump), but with it looking like Trump’s going to win Arizona, the Democrats are going to have difficulty getting out the vote. The early voting data look very favorable for our side, and Trump may win big with Lake benefiting. Ditto Brown in Nevada.
Now is the time for all good patriots to come to the aid of their country.
OMG...LETS GO KARI!!!!!!!!!
Looks like Trump is ahead in Arizona.
I cannot imagine anyone voting for Trump and then voting for Gallego.
This is good news.
🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻 NEVER UNDERESTIMATE THE Democ Rat capacity to CHEAT.
Currently, my poll-based probability model of 5,000 simulated elections has Lake winning her race only 14.72% of the time.
If I add 1% to her poll results and subtract 1% from Gallego's poll results, Lake's probability of winning grows to 27.42%.
If I add a 2% bias to Lake, her probability of winning becomes 44.41%. The polling for Lake is too far behind for a 2% polling bias to correct.
Overall, my model shows Republicans winning the Senate with an expected value of 52.47 Senate seats A 1% bias causes the Republicans to win an expected value of 54.27 seats in the Senate.
A 2% bias gives Republicans 55.92 expected Senate seats.
-PJ
My wife’s not a fan, but did end up voting for her, so I think the word is getting out on how radical Gallego is.
I think once AZ voters realize that she CAN win, that will shift the momentum to her all the more.
She is an excellent candidate.