Baltimore City turnout at 7%

Maryland State Board of Elections ^ | October 29, 2024 | Bort

[bort]

After 5 days of early voting in Maryland, an underwhelming 7% of registered voters in the City of Baltimore have cast an in-person early vote (this numbers excludes provisional and absentee ballots).

[bort]

Along with the anecdotal evidence coming in from "swing states" that the Democrats' urban base is not showing up to vote, the Maryland numbers are sending shockwaves through the DNC. Baltimore City is overwhelmingly Democrat and African American. After the fifth day of IPEV, 7% of Baltimore's registered voters have cast an early in-person ballot. By comparison, in Calvert County and Queen Anne's County, two of the most Republican-leaning counties in Maryland, more than 20% of registered voters have cast IPEV ballots. Additionally, Democrat-heavy Montgomery and Prince George's Counties are sitting at roughly 13% each, which is underwhelming. Two things to glean from these numbers: 1) African American and progressive voters in urban areas are not showing up; 2) Larry Hogan, our favorite RINO, may actually pull off a win here. Discuss....

[Col Frank Slade]

Blacks can tell she’s a phony.

[libh8er]

MD going for Trump ? Not likely. Too many fed gov employees sucking at the teat.

[workerbee]

I doubt these percentages are anything out of the ordinary. Maryland is probably the safest state in the Union for The Left.

Hogan, on the other hand - I’m surprised he’s behind because nearly every non-Repub I know absolutely loves him, esp. since Covid, so on name recognition alone, I thought he’d coast. We’ll see.

[DannyTN]

Don’t worry, 2 days after the election it will be somewhere between 107% and 170%.

[Not A Snowbird]

I believe a lot of Dems will stay home.

[DarrellZero]

It will still end up at 110% after the late-night ballot dump.

[vikingd00d]

>>Discuss

And yet Baltimore will still have 117% turnout by election day....

[cgbg]

Maryland is a disaster—for us and Hogan.

Let us dig deeper:

The national Pew projection is a two to one Harris edge on mail in voting.

In Maryland it is three to one:

https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2024-early-voting/2024-general-election-early-vote-maryland/

The national Pew projection is a wash on early in person voting.

In Maryland it is five to three Democrats:

https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2024-early-voting/2024-general-election-early-vote-maryland/

Republicans are going to be crushed in Maryland.

My thread on the Pew analysis of early voting:

https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4273604/posts

[volare737]

Many might stay home, but mail-in voting (legit or otherwise) will fix that.

[dowcaet]

I’m thinking the same thing too. There is little real enthusiasm for Harris among Democrats. I believe a number of them are angry too that they were not given the opportunity to choose their nominee, and instead one selected for them.

If the RNC had done something similar to us and selected the candidate themselves without a primary battle I’m sure more than half of GOP voters would not vote for that candidate. Just hating Trump is not enough to make every Democrat want to vote for Harris. Maybe enough of them realize their party is going off the rails!

[gw-ington]

"Joyful" photo of George Soros's son, Alex Soros (now head of the multi-billion-dollar Soros "Open Society Foundation"), with Hillary Clinton.

The woman next to Alex Soros is Huma Abedin -- Hillary's Vice Chair of her 2016 Presidential campaign -- who also happens to be Alex Soros's fiancee. Abedin was married to Anthony Weiner (Bill Clinton officiated their wedding ceremony -- a great start). Weiner was caught sexting nude photos of himself to various people, so Abedin divorced him. Hillary considers Abedin her "second daughter." Abedin also dated Hollyweird actress Bradley Cooper. In July 2024, Abedin announced her engagement to Alex Soros (son of George Soros).

[HIDEK6]

an underwhelming 7% of registered voters in the City of Baltimore have cast an in-person early vote

After the polls close, the poll workers will cast the remaining ballots.

[bort]

Good points. However, Hogan—who, by the way, I am no fan of—does well with Democrats, especially moderate white Ds. And the NRSC is pouring money into the race, which suggests that their internal polling is showing that Hogan has a legitimate shot. The Maryland numbers do show a drop-off in AA voting, which is occurring in other states, as well.

[ckilmer]

can you compare those early votes to the 2020 early votes.

the reason for this question is that in some swing states early voting showed democrats ahead—but their lead was substantially down from 2020. pollsters say that the democrat lead is down so far that it will not be enough to make up for the big republican turn out on election day.

[PIF]

I believe a lot of Dems will stay home.

—
But oddly, their ballots will show up

[b4me]

Looks like most of the mail in ballots are back. I’m wondering if the requested numbers will go up in some swing states as needed to push kamal totals?

[the OlLine Rebel]

Not as much in Baltimore. Though unfortunately it includes a massive Social Security complex.

[the OlLine Rebel]

As stated in their ads, a Republican is a Republican, and being Republican is really bad, especially since Trump. Doesn’t matter how RINO other Republicans squawk that he is.

Which is why I am voting for Hogan. And Trump. Fact is Dems will vote D, and will do it to sink the R. We cannot afford to sit out votes, either.