The bigger news is the significant decline in “requests for mail ballots;”
down by 58% from 2020 in states that don’t send mail ballots to all voters.
The drop is especially steep in the swing states of Georgia and
North Carolina, with declines of 84% and 75% respectively.
FTA-——It’s impossible to know what these statistics mean. It’s also impossible to spin them into good news for Harris. It is possible to say what this means to both candidates: There’s still plenty of time to influence the race with campaign stops, messages and tactics.
More than 96% of likely voters have not yet cast their vote. By the end of next week, that share is not likely to have dropped below 85%.
The race may not come down to Election Day, but tens of millions of people are clearly waiting until the campaign’s final days to vote. Which campaign grasps that simple fact most thoroughly likely has a tiny but real edge.
In Georgia, it’s because people are keenly aware of Raffensperger’s dirty tricks in 2020 wrt that consent decree with Democrats to NOT compare mail in signature ballots with registrations. He’s not gonna get away with it this time.