WTF is a “fairly honest Democrat” ?
D+3 in Ohio?!?
Garbage. Trump will take Ohio by likely 5-8 on the low end
Only polls I would give time of day to would be
Emerson, Atalanta, Trafalgar, Rasmussen. Maybe the NT times sienna, and that other last one is iffy at best. They did a good job in 22 but were off by I believe more than twice the margin of error in 2020, so I am very dubious of them.
There may be another here or there I might consider after looking at their historical performance but 538 includes a lot of damn useless noise in their averages.
Real clear polling for a much better job ignoring the crap