The big picture of how the war or any individual part of it is going is not "my side is winning / their side is losing". Neither side has claimed victory nor admitted defeat.
Regarding Kursk:
Should Russia eventually expel the AFU from Kursk, it is going a while.
That was at the beginning of the SMO when Russia thought they had a deal with Zelensky and just needed to make a show of force to get Ukraine to submit.
Retreating from Kherson was the best idea, unlike what Ukraine did in failing to retreat from Bakhmut and losing so many troops in a losing cause.
In the General/Chat forum, on a thread titled My notes on Ukraine part of VIDEO | Ukr Pokrovsk Crisis, Rus: No Talks Kiev; Alaudinov: Kursk NPP Ukr Target, Failed; Iran Rejects US , Widget Jr wrote: 1. Both sides in this war tend to look at their favorite sources, downplay source on the other side, and claim they are "winning". Both sides talk about what they say the other side is or is not talking about, which may or may not be accurate, as if that means anything. 2. Mercouris says Russian sources say Western source are not talking about the Kursk NPP. Googling Kursk nuclear power plant shows Western news is talking about the Kursk NPP. 3. The big picture of how the war or any individual part of it is going is not "my side is winning / their side is losing". Neither side has claimed victory nor admitted defeat.
Regarding Kursk:
4: The AFU rate of advance is slowing, not stopping.
5 And now for some interesting news. The general in charge of Russian forces in Kursk is Aleksandr Lapin. He was the general in charge of Kherson who failed to stop Ukraine from taking Kherson back. This is a bad omen for Russia.
- AFU units are digging in, which shows they intend to hold ground.
- Russia has not mounted its main counter action to the Kursk operation yet.
- Russia has not driven back or wiped out the AFU out of Kursk. No matter what the Russian information space says, operational AFU units are still in Kursk.
Should Russia eventually expel the AFU from Kursk, it is going a while.
1. Both sides say whatever, and then the Ukrainians are exposed for lying extensively, while the Russians are more accurate, but still have bias.
2. Mercouris was pointing to the relative silence among the elites and their MSM when the Ukrainian attack unfolded. The Ukraine and the elites were pretending Zelensky was not there to attack nuke plants. WHen they were exposed throughout commentators and social media, they began saying more - not just tour guide 'there's a nuclear plant there'.
3. There's more to the big picture. There's who has what assets (air support, number of troops, number that are trained versus conscripts, who has air superiority etc.) and how are their populations being affected? (most of Ukrainian power grid is gone). For example, Russia has 15 times the number of aircraft compared with the Ukraine.
4. Sadly, the Ukrainian troops are trapped. Putin repositioned some of his troops when he was warned in advance that the Ukrainians were planning an attack. 6 days into the fight and the Russians had not sealed the border and more Ukrainians were flooding in, even though Putin has the troops to seal it. Putin didn't slow Russian advances throughout the Donbas to seal the border, nor deploy some of his troops. He let more Ukrainians stream in. Because, its a trap and the Ukrainians are in it. Andnow that they're trying to destroy the nuclear power plant, the world has turned against them. Zelensky's replacement has already been selected. Because groups of mercenaries with the Ukrainian soldiers have been shooting at civilians, civilian cars/ambulances/fire trucks, Putin has declared the incursion domestic terrorism. This means the gloves are off - they will not be afforded the rights of Prisoners of War.
5. From my notes on Alex Christoforou's video: 3 years of this war, the collective West/Ukraine is still hanging on to the propaganda narrative of the 'great' Kherson and the 'great' Kharkiv counter-offensive' wherein the Ukrainians rushed in and grabbed territory that was empty (no Russian troops) and claimed 'victory'.
MY NOTES ON RUMBLE VIDEO: Burning tires at ZNPP? Elensky reinforces Kursk. Maduro amnesty for presidency. UK, big tech penalty (Zelensky)
RUMBLE.com ^ | 8/12/2024 | Alexander ChristoforouPosted on 8/12/2024, 3:30:47 PM by ransomnote