continuously advancing the 7 day 60 percent chance of formation, at the same time expanding the potential area of contact out to and including Bermuda. Some forecast.
Look at the Saturday summary by Weatherbell.com. Mr. Joe Bastardi a true expert who exposes the lazy weather.com, weather channel and also for that matter us fedgov NOAA.nhc.
They all work from “European Model” computer generation. Which weatherbell had..two weeks ago by analyzing the competing ridges... the “ridges over troubled waters”.
The weather channel was so desperate for weather news last week they were forced to report on a typhoon hitting china......very tellling
Joe Bastardi knows his stuff.
The game is to give more weight to peripheral chances of storm impact in order to avoid complaints that there was inadequate warning if such areas get hit. Meanwhile, the public tends to discount the damage that can be done if the most likely storm course and strength prove true.