The game is to give more weight to peripheral chances of storm impact in order to avoid complaints that there was inadequate warning if such areas get hit. Meanwhile, the public tends to discount the damage that can be done if the most likely storm course and strength prove true.
True- for those new to the SE/FL/GA/SC/NC. Those who have been through more than 10 in their lives in these areas, do pay attention- the cut point will begin when a cyclone forms and begins to “steer” by the ridges. Especially E.Coast of FL, Bahamas— these people have been through it, many times.