[cgbg]

Now I am confused...

Is Socrates a real computer that is stupid?

Or a fake computer that is stupid?

[Widget Jr]

I do not know what Socrates really is. My own belief is that Armstrong created it and a fake history to go along with it just before leaving prison. My sneaking suspicion is, Socrates is an excel spreadsheet he uses as a MacGuffin for his scam. More information about how accurate it really is, Martin Armstrong cherry-picks Bad Forecast Array:

"As I have shown in Socrates Forecast Array Nonsense, the turning points in the Forecast Arrays of Martin Armstrong's Socrates have only a success rate of between 20% and 25%."

"However, he frequently posts cherry-picked success stories on his blog site that suggest otherwise, often saying that Socrates has never been wrong. Here I expose his fraudulent technique of achieving his objective in detail while at the same time exposing a flaw in the system that turned out to be a trap for his helper in the scheme."

Given that, what Brian Griffin posted in #7 will have a better success rate than Armstrong's predictions.

I am not a economist or computer expert. If anyone have better understanding of any of this, please post about it.