Posted on 12/18/2023 10:01:09 AM PST by freddy005
It has long been obvious that the Democrats badly want Donald Trump to be the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. This may seem counterintuitive in light of a recent spate of polls showing the former president leading Joe Biden, but this is primarily an artifact of the latter’s weakness. The most reliable polls show Trump bumping up against a ceiling of about 47 percent of the popular vote, which is consistent with his performance in the last two elections. Moreover, in order to win in the Electoral College, he must recapture several swing states Biden narrowly won in 2020 — and that will be more difficult in 2024 than it was in 2016 due to the metastasis of mail-in voting.
The RealClearPolitics average shows Trump leading Biden in general election polls by 3.5 percent. It’s not enough. In 2020, Biden was able to avoid a 269-269 tie in the Electoral College by a mere 42,918 votes in three states (10,457 in Arizona, 11,779 in Georgia and 20,682 in Wisconsin). Trump won these states in 2016 and is now outpolling Biden in all of them. In a new Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll, for example, “President Joe Biden trails former President Donald Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and — for the first time since tracking began in October — Michigan.” This sounds bad for Biden, but few of these states have viable systems for ensuring the security of mail-in ballots. A new poll conducted for the Heartland Institute by Rasmussen Reports illustrates why this matters:
(Excerpt) Read more at 1ft.io ...
Trump won TWICE. He’ll win a third time. Period .
It’s now gotten to the point where fraud by the Democrats is now taken into consideration when projections are made. That’s disgusting. Something needs to be done about these mail-in ballots and the rampant fraud that comes along with them. The elections are becoming a joke.
“The most reliable polls show Trump bumping up against a ceiling of about 47 percent of the popular vote”
The real numbers - privately in the voting booth- were likely 80/20 for the 2020 and are now close to 90/10 maintaining a reasonable trajectory from the 2016
The question is the cheating
So this article is a waste
In a genuine fair election. Yes.
He’d kill them.
47% is a laughable joke
If Trump picks Nikki as his running mate, the Democrats may carry several Southern states they usually lose.
“ If Trump picks Nikki as his running mate, the Democrats may carry several Southern states they usually lose.”
The Bush era is over. No on the gop contenders. Stand back when dt gets back in. It will be very different
No more keep your enemies close appointments.
Sadly, I think the question isn’t whether he can win, but whether he will be allowed to take office when he does win. I think there are a lot of highly placed people who would rather burn down the whole country than let Trump be President again.
Caught a bit of Congressman Dean Phillips on C-SPAN this weekend. He is running for President as a Democrat (he represents the third district of Minnesota). He comes across as reasonable and intelligent (especially compared to Biden or Harris). But then some woman started talking to him about "reproductive freedom" (she looked too old to worry about getting pregnant herself) and he showed his pro-abortion fanaticism, lamenting that the Supreme Court had left it to the states and that the Democrats wasted a chance to pass a national law supporting abortion when they had both houses of Congress.
They will be ...
... with a lot of fraudulent votes thrown in ...
The House has the power to shut down the government until the mail in ballot fraud is addressed. It could also refuse to fund the USPS. So far, nothing has been done which means the GOPe doesn’t care about losing elections to fraud.
I agree with you completely. I'm just having a hard time being optimistic, about much of anything these days. And so I will cast my (utterly meaningless) ballot next November. My vote is even more meaningless than most, even if it does actually get counted, because I am in NJ.
It’s depressing to see how many of us came to the same conclusion. Win? Yes. Be allowed to take office? Highly unlikely.
No, Trump will never be in the WH again. Sorry folks, dose of realism.
Yes, next question.
Fixed it.
If Trump can’t win then no one can win.
It’s not who (or how many) votes that matters. It’s who counts the votes that matter.
—
And how many times they recount the same ballots.
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