“I am trying to figure out why it is cold.”
It’s a sign that global warming is getting really really bad.
Midwest snow lovers are SOL this winter, El Nino is looking more badass than forecasted and that southern stream jet (setting up already slightly further east than early projections) will probably only provide one or two opportunities for a sufficient pre-phasing back in the Plains to generate the kind of low pressure system that would track up the Ohio and bury IL/IN/OH with Gulf moisture curling backside into a polar low-enhanced deformation zone.