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The Pink Flamingo Scenario
American Thinker ^ | 28 Oct, 2023 | Allan J. Feifer

Posted on 10/28/2023 4:35:44 AM PDT by MtnClimber

Musclebound federal agencies and their institutional biases are rendering these same agencies incapable of countering the many risks we now face.

A Pink Flamingo describes a predictable event, or series of events, ignored through the bias of leadership, trapped in their institutional thinking.

It differs from Black Swan events, which generally come out of nowhere and are statistically implausible.

Pink Flamingos exist in a gray area where particular institutions, i.e., political, military, or economic entities, ignore intelligence, conflicting data, and ideas that directly confront established beliefs, tenets, and capabilities of their respective organization(s).

Why is this important? Pink Flamingos happen all the time. Is a bolt out of the blue unpredictable? Stand under a tree five miles from a thunderstorm and tempt fate. You may get away with such a gamble, but an actual risk of getting hit by lightning is greater if you do.

COVID-19 was another example. The mission of USARIID (U.S. Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases) is:

To provide leading edge medical capabilities to deter and defend against current and emerging biological threat agents.

Together with the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) and the National Institutes of Health (NIH), these agencies were the watchdogs that supposedly could have, should have been on top of COVID months before it arrived at our shores.

Almost all our warning systems failed despite spending billions of dollars and having the best people and decades to prepare. The story of how this happened remains a carefully guarded secret.

This is not just a story about COVID, though. It is a wake-up call that institutional and bureaucratic inertia leaves us vulnerable to threats that should keep us up at night. Understanding that is vital because it is one of the reasons why we are failing as a country.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Society
KEYWORDS: blackswan; pinkflamingo

1 posted on 10/28/2023 4:35:44 AM PDT by MtnClimber
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To: MtnClimber

From what I have seen these huge institutions spend much of their time and energy on political infighting, turf wars and gossip.


2 posted on 10/28/2023 4:36:00 AM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of Colorado scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: MtnClimber

That and cruising porn sites...


3 posted on 10/28/2023 6:13:51 AM PDT by null and void (If you support monsters you will die in the cross fire.)
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To: MtnClimber

Missing from the list are **schools**!

There is a reason the Muslims and Chinese pour money into our universities.


4 posted on 10/28/2023 6:14:45 AM PDT by wintertime ( Behind every government school teacher stand armed police.( Real bullets in those guns on the hip!))
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To: null and void

They have to spend the day doing something on our tax dollars.


5 posted on 10/28/2023 7:50:46 AM PDT by BipolarBob (Attention terrorists! has Joe Biden forgot to fund your cell? Call the WH now.)
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To: null and void

Better they spend 99% of their time doing that until we can finally dismantle these oppressive and useless gubmint agencies en masse.


6 posted on 10/28/2023 5:55:53 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (America Owes Anita Bryant An Enormous Apology)
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