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To: DUMBGRUNT

Since last fall in the November timeframe, Russia began a military expansion program. Three Corps of 500K to be newly formed after the November reorganization showing 160K in Special Operation, four separate commands combined in a unified 160K command, plus the first 500K Corps organized.

In May-June period the 2d or first new 500K Corps was combat ready bringing Russia up to 2 full Corps.,

In late August the 3d Corps is expected to be completed. In December 2023 the 4th Corps should be fully trained.

Russia has suffered approx 35K combat deaths and 80K WIA. Looking at combat units at least one officer per platoon of 40-50 soldiers; a company of 150-175 would have a CO and XO plus 4 platoon leaders as junior officers. A battalion would be 3-4 company’s led by a LTC and Major and total 500-600 men. That’s about 16 2LTs, 4 1LTs, 4 Captains plus the Major and LTC or 26 officers per 500-600 men.

I can see at least one dead officer per 20 enlisted. Take 35k KIAs and you lose to death 1800-2,000 and another 6,000-8,000 WIA. These estimates are for Infantry.... Other military units may be more Officer top heavy.

If you consider Russia has gone from 700K soldiers to an expansion of over 2m by December 2023.... WOW.

On top of the 4 Corps, Russia has called up 300K, and 400K in addition call ups that basically cover 2 year discharges.

By January 2024, Russia may have an active force of over 2M and a Reserve of combat aged men over 3M.


16 posted on 06/30/2023 12:46:01 PM PDT by Jumper (TYRANNY (You can have a Tranny without a Tyrants tYranny))
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To: Jumper

—”By January 2024, Russia may have an active force of over 2M”

And they have to feed and clothe them...

Paid for with an economy smaller than Canada or Italy, ten other countries, and the top three US States.

That will be difficult to maintain in a country with a long-term declining population.

Not being in the workforce will be an additional drag on the Russian economy which has long been short-handed.


17 posted on 06/30/2023 1:12:15 PM PDT by DUMBGRUNT ( "The enemy has overrun us. We are blowing up everything. Vive la France!"Dien Bien Phu last message)
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To: Jumper
Numbers by themselves do not tell the whole story. Look at all the problems the Russian army has had in Ukraine. Those problems extend to everything touching the Russian military including training. The US and NATO invests a lot of money in training. Russia cuts corners and takes it for granted.

Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russian military training facilities have been reduced in number, poorly maintained and managed. They don't have well run training programs anymore. Last winter, the training was keeping conscripts in one place to dump them on the front lines later. A lot of conscripts were dumped on the front lines and froze and starved to death for lack of winter gear, shelter, and food.

2 million warm bodies are not 2 million trained soldiers. To have trained soldiers Russia will have to rebuild all its military training programs. They have not even started on this.

19 posted on 06/30/2023 3:50:39 PM PDT by Widget Jr (🇺🇦 Слава Україні! 🇺🇦 Sláva Ukrayíni! 🇺🇦 ☭ No CCCP 2.0 ☭)
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