NO! The Ukrainian Army of Freedom will push back the Orks to recapture Marapol and cut the land link to Crimea. The Ruzzian Army will be crushed with the new drive, new army of the Ukraine and their new tanks and other system. Watch as the new Weapons shatter the enemies of Freedom and Democracy! The tide is turning. The Balkmut trap has killed Putin’s best fighters. He has nothing left. He will be powerless to stop the fall of Crimea—when it goes, he will be forced out of power and Russia surrenders to NATO. The war will be over with a Zelenskyy victory. This will be one for the history books!
Zelensky has no one left to pull the triggers.
I think Ukraine will move to take Crimea. Of course a lot depends on unknown factors like how much underground resistance is there in Crimea, how many airplanes will some of the NATO countries provide the Ukes, how good a supply of drones do they have, etc. The Russians can escape over the bridge, but not take much heavy equipment with them as there are problems with heavy loads on the rail lines, and large numbers of Russian civilians will be trying to flee like mad.
If they do take Crimea, then they can negotiate whether Russia might lease port space for ordinary commerce which is a lot closer to markets than legal RUssian territory. Also they would be able to reclaim the potential gas and oil resources surrounding Crimea in the Black Sea and potentially restart the exploration contracts they had with the 2 US oil companies that were canceled in 2014 when the Russians took Crimea. So many unknowns to factor, but some important benefits to anticipate.