[struggle]

>So what’s the basis for claiming Russia has won?

The Ukrainians are getting ground up. The Russian military isn’t really even engaged on the front. It’s all wagner and their group of former prisoners.

[pierrem15]

Wagner or not, the corpses are coming out of Russia's pool of military aged males. And I doubt the defenders are suffering anywhere near the casualties that Wagner is suffering.

The main problem I see is that the idiotic, cowardly policy of dribbling equipment to the Ukrainians is giving the Russians time to raise more troops and adapt.