[Renfrew]

This is silly. It’s like saying in 2006 that smart phones are a failure because only 1% of people own one.

US electric vehicles:

2010: 1,000
2015: 200,000
2020: 1,000,000

The number of EVs on the road has been increasing exponentially over the last decade.

They are at 1% now, but there is no scenario where they EVs don’t hit 20% of all cars on the road.

[Openurmind]

“there is no scenario where they EVs don’t hit 20% of all cars on the road.”

Let me fix that...

“there is no scenario where they EVs don’t hit 20% AS all cars on the road.”

That is a pretty good estimate. Because 80% of folks will not even be able to own a car anymore let alone afford to charge one.

[RightOnTheBorder]

They are at 1% now, but there is no scenario where they EVs don’t hit 20% of all cars on the road.

Removing government coercion and forcing electric cars to compete on their merits might do the trick but given the direction we are moving I agree with your assessment.

[Jacquerie]

WoW! The government gets more of what it subsidizes! Who knew?

[anton]

There is only a scenario where EV’s do not get to 20%. That is because the electric grid will not support anything close to 20%. And, no scenario includes XXX new nuclear power plants which is about what it takes to get to 20%. there are 300,000,000 cars on the road. 20% is 60,000,000. You need about 50kw capacity for each car. Someone do the arithmetic.