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To: C19fan
Personally, I don't think the playoff committee is itching to drop #2 Ohio State that far down, even after getting spanked by #3 Michigan. I think they'd have to see some amazingness by other teams to push Ohio State down below the top 4.

Will 1-loss #6 USC (before the next rankings come out probably boosting them after their win over the #13 Irish) figure out how to beat the Utah Utes that beat USC by 1 point already in the season? USC's win over the Irish combined by beating the Utes in the Pac-12 championship is liable to give the Trojans the edge over Ohio State.

Then there's 2-loss #5 LSU (before the next rankings come out probably lowering them after the loss to the Aggies), who has to face #1 Georgia in the SEC championship game. LSU winning that would give them the ultimate resume enhancer, even with 2 losses.

Looking now at undefeated #4 TCU. Yeah, they might bump up to #3 this week with Ohio State's loss. But they still have to play #12 Kansas St in the Big-12 championship. If TCU wins, they're in. If they lose to Kansas St, I'd still count TCU in with one loss but 12 wins against 5 ranked opponents.

Then there's #7 Bama (just spanked unranked Auburn), who doesn't play a conference championship game, and has 2 losses totaling only 4 points (both games lost in the last play of the game). Because Bama doesn't play anyone else, they have nothing to add to their resume after their Iron Bowl win. I don't see them getting in with them having only 2 wins over ranked opponents. Certainly not if LSU wins the SEC championship and makes their case as the best 2-loss team. Bama needs Georgia to win the SEC championship over LSU, and for the other top-ranked teams to lose their conference championship games (Michigan, TCU, and USC). Even with that, I don't see Bama getting in without Saban offering the playoff committee free weekend getaways to his lake house.

Looking at the top 4 teams with conference championship games coming up: Georgia, Michigan, TCU, and USC. If #1 Georgia loses to LSU in the SEC Championship game, Georgia will have only 1 loss, but in the whole rest of the season they beat only 2 ranked opponents. Same if unbeaten Michigan loses their conference championship (only 2 ranked opponents in the season). Same if 1-loss USC loses (to make it 2 losses, with only 2 wins over ranked opponents). Unbeaten TCU already has 4 wins on ranked opponents, including Kansas State whom they play in their conference championship. So in the strange event that we have conference championship chaos where all 4 of the top ranked teams lose, IMHO TCU has the best resume to survive it and make it to the playoffs. The other top teams might also survive losing their conference championship game, but not as certainly as TCU would.

4 posted on 11/27/2022 4:55:13 AM PST by Tell It Right (1st Thessalonians 5:21 -- Put everything to the test, hold fast to that which is true.)
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To: Tell It Right

My daughter goes to The Ohio State University- everyone in the house was rooting for OSU, including our dog.

I told my daughter a week ago when she was at school and texting me as they were struggling against Maryland, the Bucks were going to get killed by Michigan unless they came out and scored four touchdowns by halftime- they scored two and two FG’s because the QB can’t get them into the end zone.

Stroud is overrated.
Day is a mediocre coach at best
They play to the level of their competition
They can never play from behind

Not the makings of a championship program.


5 posted on 11/27/2022 5:20:21 AM PST by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: Tell It Right
Certainly not if LSU wins the SEC championship and makes their case as the best 2-loss team.

They have 3 losses after getting spanked by Texas A&M 38-23.

Their chances seem extremely slim, with mostly unlikely, that they will be victorious in the SEC championship. If they do somehow win,], it would have to be a decisive win I believe.

7 posted on 11/27/2022 6:19:01 AM PST by Robert DeLong
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To: Tell It Right

Your post has a lot of factual innacuracies to take seriously. LSU has 3 losses and is completely out of the playoff picture. TCU has only wins against 2 ranked opponents (KSU and weak Oklahoma)...who are the other two? Georgia and Michigan are locked in, even if they lose next week. TCU and USC are in with wins...if one or both lose, Alabama and Ohio State are back in the picture, in that order. Everyone else is out.


20 posted on 11/27/2022 9:05:11 AM PST by Mozzafiato
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