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Excellent tweet-thread election summary & lay of the land by John Hayward
Twitter ^ | 11/9/2022 | John Hayward

Posted on 11/09/2022 7:30:41 AM PST by MountainWalker

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1 posted on 11/09/2022 7:30:41 AM PST by MountainWalker
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To: MountainWalker

Yes. Good analysis.

Millennials D +28. They won’t realize how shitty things are going to get until their children (that they decide to keep) are experiencing what Venezuela is now.

Abrams and Warnock were advertising on Snapchat in Georgia. They’re not targeting current voters, they’re targeting future voters. Dems are on TikTok. We aren’t.

Democrats have figured out that Americans have short attention spans (student loan relief) and can be much more easily convinced to vote on social issues than economic issues because it’s easier to play on people’s emotions rather than appeal to their intelligence.

The young are influenced by media and celebrities. Dems own them.


2 posted on 11/09/2022 7:34:28 AM PST by TigerClaws
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To: MountainWalker

Same steal. Different year. Marxist “election” “count”.


3 posted on 11/09/2022 7:34:53 AM PST by FlyingEagle
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To: MountainWalker

Regarding exit polls:

Who is more likely to speak to an exit pollster?

Someone who voted R or someone who voted D?

Many R voters likely suspect that the exit pollster is not really an exit pollster and is really someone who is just trying to identify R voters to target for some sort of adverse action.

I don’t know how one “proves” this. I hope someone, Richard Baris perhaps, can dig into the exit poll data.

My understanding is that exit pollsters mainly stick to hanging out at precincts that are bellweathers or swing precincts that have a history of going back and forth.

I’d be interested in a comparison of the exit poll results in precincts where R’s did well and ones where they did not so well. Of course, you don’t know if the latter occurred because of fraud or true voter sentiment in that precinct.

My guess, though I could be wrong, but that’s why I’m hoping someone does a study, is that even in those precincts where R’s did well, Biden got a surprisingly favorable rating from people taking the exit poll, suggesting it was D’s who couldn’t wait to tell someone how great they thought he is.


4 posted on 11/09/2022 7:36:09 AM PST by CheshireTheCat ("Forgetting pain is convenient.Remembering it agonizing.But recovering truth is worth the suffering")
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To: MountainWalker

My confidence in the American voter ended in Nov. 1992.


5 posted on 11/09/2022 7:36:41 AM PST by lurk (u)
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To: All

Well written!
Clear headed unemotional thinking.


6 posted on 11/09/2022 7:38:48 AM PST by Reily
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To: MountainWalker

The good coach requirement is why Kevin McCarthy should not be speaker. With a thin margin - it’s even more important to have a smart strategist and able communicator as Speaker. Not McCarthy!


7 posted on 11/09/2022 7:38:50 AM PST by Wally_Kalbacken
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To: CheshireTheCat

Did you hear of any exit polls?


8 posted on 11/09/2022 7:38:54 AM PST by goodnesswins (The Chinese are teaching calculus to their 3rd graders while ours are trying to pick a pronoun.)
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To: MountainWalker

Their ideology is their god.


9 posted on 11/09/2022 7:39:42 AM PST by Karoo
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To: MountainWalker

Saw this but in general, my twitter feed is dead. All those that were bragging about the red tsunami yesterday are in hiding today.


10 posted on 11/09/2022 7:41:08 AM PST by Pollard (Worm & GMO Free - some call us purebloods)
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To: goodnesswins

74% said we are on the wrong track but... then voted for Dems?

Abortion was a big factor. Many young turned out. Dems harvest ballots much better than we do.

MSM is trying to create a Trump/DeSantis rift to clear the path for 2024.


11 posted on 11/09/2022 7:42:27 AM PST by TigerClaws
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To: MountainWalker
"Institutional Control" ???

Sneak speak for rigged fraudulent elections.

12 posted on 11/09/2022 7:44:21 AM PST by blackdog (The head, hands, and heart, serve even further than the purse. )
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To: Karoo

Yup. Killing babies and wokeness are the new religion.


13 posted on 11/09/2022 7:44:38 AM PST by woweeitsme
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To: MountainWalker

Bob Dole/John McCain party of the See has got to be the biggest tablet bunch of losers I have ever seen in my life

Either indifferent to the results everybody else was looking for or they did this on purpose

I think they take a little bit from part a, and a little bit from part B Jolt they wanted

Name the top 5 things that concern Americans and not one of the democrats addressed any of those things and yet they won?

I’ll still be around, still caring about the things I care about but definitely, less engaged

Whover the younger people are that believe in Republican ideals it is your turn

I’ll still support the Republican party just like the Detroit Lions fans whose team gets killed every year

Ever, I’ll be watching from the confines of my living room on my giant 80” TV while drinking scotch and thinking “Gee it used to be fun to go to the stadium”


14 posted on 11/09/2022 7:45:37 AM PST by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me https://youtu.be/wH-pk2vZG2M)
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To: MountainWalker
I thought last night's results wrote a message in the sky with letters of fire. YMMV.

Are we supposed to know what this code is?

15 posted on 11/09/2022 7:46:02 AM PST by GOP_Party_Animal
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To: goodnesswins

No, it takes days for the exit poll data to come out and be digested.

I look forward to discussions on this topic by people I respect.


16 posted on 11/09/2022 7:46:02 AM PST by CheshireTheCat ("Forgetting pain is convenient.Remembering it agonizing.But recovering truth is worth the suffering")
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To: TigerClaws

Yes, that can’t be overstated how much the lopsided young voters (it was actually Gen-Z, 18-29) hurt us yesterday. Biden bought them off with a promise of student loan forgiveness, and they rewarded him in spades. It angered reliable borrowers who paid back their loans, but it didn’t change voting dynamics as much as the promise of free money to people who have very little.

Furthermore, the fact that people don’t even need to show up on election day anymore, which previously served as a check against a lazier and dumber electorate, is going to be an incredibly difficult obstacle for us to overcome.


17 posted on 11/09/2022 7:47:15 AM PST by MountainWalker
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To: GOP_Party_Animal

Yes, it’s widely used internet shorthand for Your Mileage May Vary.


18 posted on 11/09/2022 7:48:29 AM PST by MountainWalker
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To: MountainWalker

Yes, and did you notice the the student debt relief was held up 2-3 weeks out from the election?

Made it clear: to get your 10 or 20 grand = go vote Dem.

That was a big factor at the high youth vote - and they rarely show up.

Abortion was also a big factor with young females.


19 posted on 11/09/2022 7:49:01 AM PST by TigerClaws
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To: MountainWalker
This is classic Freeptarding at its worst. Here is yet another sophomoric piece where the 'author' opens with "Hey, it was fraud."
"To get the most obvious out of the way, a lot of people are yelling "fraud." Some hinky stuff happened, and apparently we'll have to put up with that forever, because the electorate does not insist on clean, efficient elections"

And then the 'author' closes by complaining that Trump is stating, "Hey, it was fraud."

" You just can't get around the fact that Dems put Trump on the ballot with all their caterwauling about Jan 6 and DEMOCRACY IN PERIL...Last night showed Dems will win if we never leave 2020 behind."

This is such a goddamn stupid article from beginning to end, it blots out the sun.

20 posted on 11/09/2022 7:52:44 AM PST by StAnDeliver (Tanned, rested, and ready.)
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