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Trafalgar poll releases latest numbers in state Senate and gubernatorial races
WGAL ^ | 10/14/2022 | WGAL

Posted on 10/14/2022 7:32:06 AM PDT by mikelets456

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To: nwrep

I constantly live with PA political commercials and think DM is running the worst campaign I’ve ever seen.
Is he even trying?
JS ads make him out to be a monster and he never responds.


41 posted on 10/14/2022 8:23:33 AM PDT by JerseyDvl (During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act.)
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To: dfwgator

Then the same logic applies. If Oz loses, Trump loses.


42 posted on 10/14/2022 8:26:52 AM PDT by bigdaddy45
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To: mikelets456
Don’t pay too much attention to polls, even from traditionally reliable pollsters like Trafalgar. All pollsters are having difficulty with getting honest answers to their questions. Rich Baris has talked about this several times on Bannon, and I would put Baris in the top three pollsters in the country. His approach to polling is unique, he relies on big data and large samples. That partly overcomes the dishonesty.

I have personally punked a poll several weeks ago, by identifying as a 19 year old, non-binary, Democrat. I answered issue questions one way and candidates questions the opposite. It made absolutely no sense, for instance being pro-choice until birth and saying I would vote for Mastriano. Unfortunately I probably blew my chances to be included in the poll since I wouldn’t be considered a likely voter. If anyone polls me again, I’ll increase my age so I can at least have a track record of voting in previous elections.

Go and vote on Election Day. That’s the only poll that matters.

43 posted on 10/14/2022 8:28:10 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA ( Scratch a leftist and you'll find a fascist )
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To: JonPreston

“Quasimodo,” that’s too funny.

Democrats and RINOs will elect anything other than a moral pro-American and do it with glee - indoctrinated, brainwashed and amoral bunch they are.

Anti-Americanism is a disease.


44 posted on 10/14/2022 8:32:02 AM PDT by jacknhoo (Luke 12:51; Think ye, that I am come to give peace on earth? I tell you, no; but separation.)
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To: mikelets456

The real problem has never been the communist democrats that we keep electing. It is the 40% (+ 15% cheating) of the populace that votes for these America destroyers. It is a combination of godlessness, abortion, public schools and universities, and media brainwashing that has coalesced to destroy western culture.


45 posted on 10/14/2022 8:32:27 AM PDT by 2nd Amendment
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To: mikelets456
John Fetterman Is a Disabled American Who Needs Technology to Do His Job. So What?
46 posted on 10/14/2022 8:33:47 AM PDT by Erik Latranyi (We are being manipulated by forces that most do not see)
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To: mikelets456
The actual numbers from the Trafalgar site show Fetterman at 47.2 to 44.8 for Oz, for a difference of 2.4%. The article above shows a difference of 3 points. Whoever wrote this article does not know how rounding works, apparently.

The Trafalgar poll from September shows 47.7 Fetterman to 45.9 Oz, for a difference of 1.8%. So really not much has changed recently.

Surely, at some point Oz will take the lead (here at FR we continue to believe this will happen).

Not even going to comment on the PA gubernatorial race... too depressing to think about.
47 posted on 10/14/2022 8:40:29 AM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: Antoninus

The crosstabs for this polling is all messed up. 50% of Latinos are for oz while 45 are for Fetterman but whites are at 45% for oz. 18-24 are strong for oz but 24-34 for Fetterman.

The crosstabs are all over the place and I think it’s because Trafalgar partnered with daily wire who f&#$ed the whole thing up.


48 posted on 10/14/2022 8:59:49 AM PDT by struggle
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To: mikelets456

I said earlier that Doug would loose by > 5% looks like it might be >10% can’t win if you don’t campaign in the urban and suburban area. Go to Urban Philly and the suburban pansies see that you care. can get suburban housewives votes. but you gotta go there. Oz did and i’m no fan. He’s got pics hugging addicts. great visuals.


49 posted on 10/14/2022 9:03:09 AM PDT by kvanbrunt2
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To: mikelets456

Better candidates were nominated there.

Oz has very high negatives even among the GOP base. Oz sat on his behind and allowed Fetterman’s campaign to define the race long before Oz decided to finally start campaigning - close campaigns can be won or lost during the summer and Oz sat back and allowed Fetterman to coast without any opposition. That makes a difference.


50 posted on 10/14/2022 9:03:33 AM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: nwrep

Mastriano is done. Unfortunately. Not even the Trafalgar special sauce can save him. Same for Oz, perhaps more close.>>> At least Oz id campaigning in the urban and suburban areas. Went to the Columbus parade in philly. Doug no show. Missed Mark Kraus protest (Kathy Barnette was there ) no show at the Columbus parade. Gotta show up to get votes if yoou don’t have tv ads. We will maybe move to North Carolina.


51 posted on 10/14/2022 9:06:02 AM PDT by kvanbrunt2
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To: mikelets456

I had ( repeat had) friends who moved to Pennsylvania. Rabid Democrats from Seattle. They vote for the handouts government could give them. I was constantly getting anti Trump texts from them. All I can say about these two is they consistently made bad decisions on every aspect of life. Any advice someone gave them would immediately make them do the opposite. As a result, they live off of Social Security and a very small pension in a one room cabin in the holler. The wife already broke her hip walking down the stairs in the snow. They are miles away from decent healthcare. I will be they will vote for Uncle Fester.


52 posted on 10/14/2022 9:14:10 AM PDT by kaila
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To: mikelets456

It’s 2 pts, and within the margin of error.


53 posted on 10/14/2022 9:23:25 AM PDT by cowboyusa (America Cowboy up! )
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To: Dr. Franklin

I think Oz narrowly wins. Shapiro will win. Some split tickets.


54 posted on 10/14/2022 9:25:27 AM PDT by cowboyusa (America Cowboy up! )
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To: Jamestown1630

Trafalgar agrees that conservatives don’t answer polls and they adjust their results accordingly. That is why they are more favorable to Republicans.

So this poll is really bad news and points to Democrats holding the Senate.


55 posted on 10/14/2022 9:26:30 AM PDT by nbenyo
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To: nbenyo

Oz needs to make a great closing argument. Still 24 days left.


56 posted on 10/14/2022 9:29:04 AM PDT by cowboyusa (America Cowboy up! )
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To: JonPreston

Oz is Trump’s creation. He eked out the primary only because of Trump’s endorsement. If he loses, its a very bad reflection on Trump and his 2024 chances.


57 posted on 10/14/2022 9:29:26 AM PDT by nbenyo
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To: bigdaddy45

Bigdaddy, I agree with you. Oz probably does not win the nomination without Trump’s endorsement. Then you have Mastriano who is running in the MAGA lane. Prior to this poll, my gut told me Oz had pulled ahead of Fetterman. Now I’m not so sure. At 47 - 44, there are still a huge number of undecideds out there. Traditionally, they should break for the party out of power (Oz). If that happens, we’ll probably lose by a point or two at this rate. Very disappointing. The GOP and/or Trump is making a huge mistake in not backing Mastriano with real money. One, he’d make a good governor. Two, more importantly, he’s dragging down Oz. Of course, that’s assuming either cares who wins....


58 posted on 10/14/2022 9:36:27 AM PDT by Big E
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To: mikelets456

I think that in this election we will see most if not all Trump friendly candidates cheated and crappy GOP candidates having a very good night. The republicans will take The House but will amazingly fail to take The Senate. All Trump friendly Senate candidates will lose in purple states. States like Georgia, Ohio(More red than purple), Arizona and Nevada but somehow crappy GOP candidates will win many races in very blue districts coast to coast. Trump will then be blamed for the losses and idiots will buy it.


59 posted on 10/14/2022 10:07:36 AM PDT by McCarthysGhost (q)
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To: mikelets456

Oregon is a 3 way race. The libs are dividing their vote.


60 posted on 10/14/2022 10:27:16 AM PDT by imabadboy99
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