Yes, I have read some of his work, his analysis is excellent. He makes a good point that others haven’t considered. Until the United States decided to escalate and openly turn this into a NATO vs. Russia war Putin would not have had the necessary internal support for anything beyond a temporary Donbass support effort and Ukrainian neutrality.
I agree completely with his description of what the current Russia plan is; maintain a defensive position and retreat carefully when overwhelmed by superior numbers thus protecting your troops and then hit the Ukrainians heavy with artillery, air, etc. now that they have exposed themselves by coming out of their defensive positions. And it has worked surprisingly well...in just 3 days of this there were over 2,000 Ukrainian casualties. If that’s “winning” Ukraine will not be able to afford to keep “winning.”
Russia is supplementing those gains by taking advantage of Ukraine’s “all in” multiple attack fronts offensive. One Ukrainian Telegram Channel remarked that the only reason Russia was able to conduct such damaging drone attacks all the way up in Kiev last night was that Ukraine had pulled out all their air defense and moved it into Kharkov and Liman for their attacks.
Russia has just recently brought in 7 strategic bombers and are clearly planning for a strong offensive once all the pieces are in place.
Yes, that's also what you said about Putin's communist rant attacking Western Civilization as evil from its inception, lies stating it started the slave trade, etc.
Russia is supplementing those gains by taking advantage of Ukraine’s “all in” multiple attack fronts offensive. One Ukrainian Telegram Channel remarked that the only reason Russia was able to conduct such damaging drone attacks all the way up in Kiev last night was that Ukraine had pulled out all their air defense and moved it into Kharkov and Liman for their attacks.
Russia has just recently brought in 7 strategic bombers and are clearly planning for a strong offensive once all the pieces are in place.
It will be interesting to see if this analysis works out.
The big problems for Russia are: Where will they get the equipment?
Where will they get the men, and how will they train them?
Where will they get the air support, artillery munitions, and intelligence to conduct the "planned" offensive?
They have not demonstrated possession of these things yet.
I doubt anyone outside the combatants knows how many casualties have been inflicted on each side (their own).
During war, both sides have significant incentive to inflate the other side's casualties and minimize their own.
“Russia has just recently brought in 7 strategic bombers and are clearly planning for a strong offensive once all the pieces are in place.”
And where have these been for the past 5 months of continuous Russian retreat?