The West does not have the industrial capacity to sustain modern war. Everything that has been sent to Ukraine so far has been from existing stocks.
While that is true to some extent, it is only one side of the equation. The truth is Russia has that exact same problem, except it is much, much worse.
1) Russia also has been living off stockpiles, much of which dated as far back as the Soviet era.
2) Russia's claimed massive stockpiles of tens of thousands of tanks and artillery tubes allegedly sitting in warehouses don't exist. The lack of maintenance, prevalence of theft, cannibalization, and selling of those stockpiles to foreign governments has wiped them out, even if we assume they existed to that extent in the first place.
By way of comparison, the US has maintained stockpiles of prepositioned equipment in Europe, etc, but has had to make a significant investment in logistical and maintenance support to ensure the gear remains operational. We have entire units dedicated just to that. You can't just stick weapons systems in warehouses and expect them to work decades later.
3) Russia's remaining equipment is depleted much worse than is Ukraine's. This is evident not only by the lack of new Russian material appearing on the battlefield, but by the fact that all these mobilized reserves are being sent to the front without being trained to equip new tank regiments, or new artillery battalions And that's because the replacement equipment doesn't exist. So essentially, Russia's cupboard has gone bare while Ukraine has managed to preserve sufficient operational mechanized units to take advantage of Russia's lack.
4) To the extent the war turns into a competition as to which side can produce new weapons systems the fastest, Russia has zero chance of outpacing western production in that regard. Even Russia itself has noted that it is unfairly competing against the industrial production of the entire west.
5) compounding Russia's massive logistical handicap is that it also is handicapped in terms of training. Ukrainian troops are being sent to NATO countries to be trained, and because those NATO countries aren't sending actual troops to Ukraine, they have plenty of experienced trainers. In contrast, Russia is taking these newly mobilized "reserves", and just shipping them off to the front. That is another incredibly important dynamic that will give the Ukrainians an ever-increasing advantage on the battlefield because they will be fielding increasingly professional troops against increasingly amateur opposition.
You guys are in deep trouble, even if you won't admit it.
We are going to realize that the Biden regime is lying about this like it lies about everything else?
Except for the ones massing in Crimea and Kherson preparing for the next offensive?
That is what satellite imagery is showing.
Everything claiming is a lie, a lie that will be very obvious soon.
If there is no surrender by Ukraine, the Russians will keep going and take Odessa and everything east of the Dnieper river at minimum.
Russia OWNS the air. I'd expect a US-style "shock and awe" campaign if there isn't a Ukrainian surrender that wipes out infrastructure and command centers.
Putin isn't bluffing when he says "we haven't really started yet".
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ox3uKQdGbIQ
Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for October 3, 2022
Ukrainian offensives are making headlines and being leveraged politically and psychologically. In reality, Ukraine is paying a price for these offensives it cannot recover from.
Meanwhile Russia is mobilizing 300,000 men and equipment to move against Ukrainian forces just as they fully over-extend themselves and as Western inventories to re-supply Ukraine dry up.