Hmm....
“The New Atlas
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Update for Russian military operations in Ukraine for September 12, 2022
- Ukraine has committed what is left of its best troops and equipment to multiple and expensive offensives - both around Kherson and in Kharkov, and rumors of offensives being prepared elsewhere;
- The Kherson offensive has failed, costing Ukraine multiple brigades’ worth of men and equipment with little territorial gain;
- The Kharkov offensive has cost Ukraine a large amount of men and equipment with significant territorial gains but failed to eliminate the Russian forces holding the region;
- Russia’s decision to withdraw from Kharkov conserves men and equipment for fighting later on and to be determined on Russian terms;
- There will be a significant strategic cost for Ukraine’s tactical gains - some of which are already being paid along the line of contact where Ukrainian lines have been weakened as Kiev cobbled together these offensive forces;
- There are significant parallels between this Ukrainian push and Germany’s Ardennes Offensive in 1944;
- Russia is targeting Ukrainian infrastructure including communication towers and power plants for the first time amid its military operations, signalling a possible escalation; “
“There are significant parallels between this Ukrainian push and Germany’s Ardennes Offensive in 1944;”
The Russians have a poor understanding of their own history. Ukraine isn’t Germany in 44. It is the USSR in 43.
* Taken by surprise an enemy state sweeps in and conquers much of the border region
* An initial push on the capital is beaten back
* Armed by the west and motivated by patriotism the invaded nation gains strength pushes the attackers out.