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To: Elsie; Lonesome in Massachussets

The three-body problem cannot be solved exactly (unlike the two-body problem). 100 years of perturbations would result in statistical probabilities as meaningful as the weatherman predicting next September’s weather.


47 posted on 09/02/2022 5:39:41 AM PDT by kosciusko51
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To: kosciusko51

A three body problem cannot be solved “analytically”, but numerical solutions are possible to arbitrary precision. There are a few models of the solar system’s gravity available, and NASA may have the second best, but uncertainties are pretty well characterized. Except in the cases of a close call, I don’t think that accuracy is necessarily the issue, it’s just avoiding publishing any catastrophic predictions centuries into the future with a government imprimatur. (Not that global warming alarmists feel any constraints.) If there is an issue there are lots of academics who can provide the appropriate level of sensationalization.


48 posted on 09/02/2022 6:13:12 AM PDT by Lonesome in Massachussets (Forsan et haec olim meminisse iuvabit.)
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To: kosciusko51

bingo


74 posted on 09/02/2022 6:21:29 PM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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