Are You Ready To Shake, Shiver, And Shovel? (Farmers' Almanac prediction for this winter.)

Farmers Almanac ^ | 8-1-22 | Farmers Almanac

[dynachrome]

Lewiston, ME: Every year since 1818, the Farmers’ Almanac provides an extended weather forecast that helps people plan ahead. This year, with the extreme summer weather conditions broiling the country, and the growing concern over the rising costs of heating oil, Farmers’ Almanac is releasing its winter weather forecast earlier than ever. The 2023 Farmers’ Almanac, which hits the store shelves on August 15, is warning readers that this winter will be filled plenty of shaking, shivering, and shoveling.

How Cold? Shivery temperatures are predicted to rattle warm weather seekers in the Southeast and South Central states, but the real shivers might send people in the Great Lakes areas, Northeast, and North Central regions hibernating. According to the Almanac, the North Central States are forecast to experience extremely cold temperatures, (possibly 40° below zero!) especially during mid-January.

Areas in the western half of the country should escape major shivers, with an overall forecast of brisk temperatures predicted in the Northwest and mild temperatures in the Southwest.

Shovel Worthy The Farmers’ Almanac suggests a stormy winter in on schedule especially for the eastern half of the country. For some areas this may mean snow, but for others it will result in more slush and mush.

[Jotmo]

“North Central States are forecast to experience extremely cold temperatures, (possibly 40° below zero!) especially during mid-January”

Good. It will kill off more of those F*#^ing mosquitos.

[The Great RJ]

I just received my natural gas bill for September and found my average flat rate billing amount was already being increased buy 33%. I expect that amount to again increase at the next adjustment in December.

[nascarnation]

Sort of like the hurricane predictions.
Do they EVER predict a “below average” hurricane season?

[russdawg]

agree

[daniel1212]

, analyses by researchers have found forecasts from farmers’ almanacs fall closer to a 50 percent accuracy rate, which is essentially like flipping a coin to predict the weather. A news station in Chicago reported on this in January 2021, finding the Old Farmer’s Almanac‘s accuracy in the Midwest at the time to be between 50 and 52 percent. Furthermore, predictions from the Farmer’s Almanac are often so vague that it would be hard to get certain things wrong, meaning those accuracy claims might be a bit inflated - https://www.reference.com/science/fact-check-farmers-almanac-weather-forecasts-accuracy

Here is the FA prediction of May 5, 2022 for summer 2022. The NE has been in drought, with the hottest (average day/night=80F) 2nd longest streak at or over 95F. (6). Longest streak at or over 80F . and 16th driest July on record, according to Dave Epstein.

https://www.almanac.com/summer-weather-forecast

Here is the NOAA long range forecast from June 16