My $24.95 Casio analog waterproof has been through 20 years of motorcycle riding, hunting... just about everything. If I had to wear a Rolex I wouldn’t have done those things at all. To me an expensive watch is a detriment. Like my poor friend who spent years restoring a 1964 Porsche 912 and was constantly terrified it would be stolen and didn’t like to drive it anywhere. He finally sold it to someone else who is probably stuck at home, sweating.
No one is going to shoot you or knock you on the head for a Casio.
For at least the past 40 years, I have worn the cheapest Casio or Timex analog watch I can find. Never had one last 20 years, though, as I’m clumsy enough to break them after a few years at most. Waterproof is good.