Posted on 05/30/2022 8:13:51 AM PDT by Widget Jr
Former U.S. Army sniper Robert Terkla discusses current problems the Russian invasion has (May 29, 2022).
On the contrary, Putin promised from the start that the West would face "consequences unheard of in your history" if we interfered with Ukraine.
Since that time we've seen Russian warships sink and targets hit on Russian soil with rockets and helicopters, no doubt with American intelligence assisting.
And after 30,000 dead, Russia is still fighting for land that should have been captured within the first week of a competent campaign.
There are no “leaks” reported in the video, but public announcements.
If you think Russia is free, go there and attempt to be an opponent to the regime.
China needs to look long and hard at its own military before even thinking about moving on Siberia or they may be a enemy Russia can beat.
You are still pushing falsehoods of their propaganda.
Who is to assess campaigns as competent or not to start with? All of it comes from Milley and his flying monkeys, who aren’t the experts on competent campaigns.
Did NATO successfully fight a major conflict since WWII?
Wake up... “Western Sanctions” are not crippling their economy. 80% of the world's population live in countries that do not honor the “Western Sanctions” and most countries which supposedly do are getting Russian products through intermediaries. Russian oil exports are up and they are getting twice as much per barrel. The people being hurt by this nonsense are you and me Bub. But that is intentional; as Biden said this is all part of “an incredible transition”. He couldn't have done it without a war that everyone wanted except the Ukrainian people.
On the contrary, almost 99% of my assessment is stolen from your own former Minister of Defense from the Donbass, Igor Girkin, aka Igor Strelkov.
I agree with his assessment because it is the most logical and has matched what we see on the ground.
What do you see on the ground and how? Strelkov is going political and spreads falsehoods as part of his campaign.
The Russian economy is expected to collapse before the year is over, hence Russia demanding sanctions be lifted in return for not blocking Ukrainian ports, and why Russia is desperate for political—not military—victories in the Donbass, even to the point of sending Russian troops repeatedly to cross rivers only to die in large numbers.
China and other countries cannot make up for the loss they are seeing to Europe.
We will hurt too, but not as much as a shitty country with a GDP smaller than Illinois where large amounts of its population do not even know what toilets look like.
The catch is, Russia planned for and is still running a short war, while Ukraine planned for and is running a real war that can last a year or more.
#7. Russia’s manpower and mobilization issues.
And yet, Russia spending only 30 days to train its reserve is a matter of fact, as is Ukraine's massive reserve that has been getting put together since the invasion started--and with the best weapons possible. Russia's lack of quality armor and equipment has also been confirmed all throughout the war.
There is literally nothing you can disagree, other than you do not like to hear it.
What best reserves?:) Where do they take them? What best weapons? Most Ukrainian armor (if there is anything left in numbers) is of Soviet origin and older than Russian.
“The Russian economy is expected to collapse before the year is over, hence Russia demanding sanctions be lifted in return for not blocking Ukrainian ports”
A liter of gas in Finland is 2 and a half Euros, a kilo of cucumbers is 6 Euros - that’s 200 to 300% up compared to last year. It is going to get exponentially worse by winter.
The EU won’t walk away from the sanction war unpunished. The Russians are going to dictate terms.
He does not know what he is talking about here! I have found Russian sources talking about BTGs.
If the Russians are saying their Army is organized into BTGs, then their Army is organized into BTGs.
End of story.
The time is on Russia’s side. The longer it takes the more likely for them to get not only Ukraine, but Europe as a whole. I’d like to see what songs the Germans are going to sing with $200 oil and shortages of food by winter.
Some tidbits NOT scraped together from Reddit, southfront, military summmary, UA MoD or Russia MoD.
Shipping weapons in means much less than you might think. It’s a long distance from the Polish border to the Donbas, or even to Odessa. Trains carry stuff, and Ukraine trains are overwhelmingly electric, with wires overhead. They have only 300 diesel locomotives out of 1500 total. Russia has targeted the western Ukraine electric substations.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r4RwbnUWj70 scroll to 2:31
Electricity is not like the Ploesti oil fields of Romania in WWII. The Allies bombed those facilities over and over and over and they got repaired over and over and over. Huge casualties on those missions that accomplished nearly nothing. The Soviets eventually occupied. It’s much harder to repair substations and overhead wires. It’s all above ground. Ploesti oil was below ground.
There is considerable evidence the arms flowing to Poland are not top level upgrades. Digital targeting is removed from artillery. It’s probably silly because there’s no reason to think the Russians care about that technology. Their own may be superior, but fear of losing those weapons is the reason technology is removed before shipment.
The endpoint? Personally, I have thought from day 1 there could be no negotiated settlement prior to total conquest. Neither side will believe the other.
NATO moving troops in and flying missions might stop Russian advance, and the trigger for that might be after loss of Odessa AND Kiev, with signs the Russians are advancing west to Lviv. That might trigger Poland panic and troops. It’s very hard to see how direct NATO involvement does not result in nuclear exchange, at the very least theater level.
Total Russian victory likely does not require long term occupation. One would expect some puppet Ukrainians be placed into technocrat roles to get the lights back on and water into pipes.
Does this turn into Resistance? Doesn’t have to. All of Europe is offering long term visas and work visas to Ukrainians fleeing. If you had asked hyper poor Ukraine 1 year ago if they would like to emigrate to the EU and get rich, 90% would say yes. Only large business owners and senior govt officials would say no, and they are the types
who want some one else going out at night to be Resistance and risk getting shot. Not themselves. They are above all that.
Useful to recall “Resistance” in WW II France did not remove Germany from occupation. Didn’t even divert many troops. Largely ineffective. Germany lost the war when 300-400K Germans and Italians and Croats and Romanians were killed or surrendered at Stalingrad. The war was over that day. Only US centric thinking deludes one into thinking D-day was all that important. So best not to believe Resistance matters in Ukraine. Every night someone has a friend killed, they look at train schedules the next day to Poland.
Russians are now bringing in WW2 era tanks due to having lost huge numbers of their modern tanks. This isn't a serious problem, and, in any case, Ukraine has received hundreds of upgraded T-72s from Baltic states, and modern armor, also in the hundreds, from the USA, not including all the other stuff they have received.
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