If an economic catastrophe you envision occurs then who knows what will happen. But one significant cohort that the GOP had hoped to attract or at least cause it to stay home is now IMO, lost and will come out in force in November. Suburban women.
The “catastrophe” isn’t in the future, it is here now and projected to get eminently worse. Food prices are high. Framers can not get fertilizer or if they can they can get it they can not afford it . When yields are lower due to decreased fertilizer prices are going to be higher and food even more scarce.