The 1/3 1/3 1/3 is REALITY. That’s how American politics are currently divided, and have been for a long time. And strength of candidate has very little to do with it. Every once in a while especially strong or weak candidates break the cycle, but the vast majority of American elections since the late 1800s have run on this cycle. Forget platforms and all that. It has so little to do with election results as to be completely pointless.
It IS what happened in ‘92. And ‘96. And 2000. And and and. Really American elections run on this cycle. I first read about all this in 2003. Of the 10 elections that have happened since then (the pattern also effects mid-terms) 2020 was the first election to break the cycle. And with GOP gains later this year we’ll be right back on cycle.
DeSantis isn’t 3rd party. He’s GOP. That would be basically Anderson in 1980. He’d be a non-factor, thought of as a sore loser. The cycle has the dem winning in ‘24 unless something crazy happens.
You should put your political genius to use - get hired as a campaign advisor - some of them get paid big bucks for being wrong all the time.