This Larry C. Johnson evidently agrees with Bernard, who thinks that Russia will take all of Ukraine’s coastline, due to its “majority ethnic Russian population.” Then Ukraine would be a landlocked country.
Now here the thing. Less than half of Ukraine’s coastline is majority ethnic Russian. So what is this Bernard guy talking about? And why would Johnson agree with him?
As with any analysis some details may be open to question but the overall basic concepts seem sound to me, and it’s not something I would necessarily welcome either, but the bottom line seems to be, Putin can do whatever he wants to do within certain limits, and all we can do is impose sanctions (which he expected and seems to have planned around), and prolong the fighting by sending military aid. It may not have any real effect other than extending the time line for Putin to accomplish the de facto victory that will not be recognized in most of Europe or “the west” for as long as he and globalists are in power. The effective alternative would be for Putin to surrender to globalism and allow Russian sovereignty to be eroded away gradually over the next decade or two. Whether anyone in western governments likes it or not, he has decided to oppose that end result and believes Ukraine in its pre-Feb 24 form to be an existential threat.
The danger is of course that globalist western leaders will get their noses so far out of joint that they will goad Russia into a full conflict with NATO, which seems inevitably nuclear at some point. Otherwise NATO would probably have the means to push into Belarus and Russia with conventional forces and bring about regime change. When you consider the full cumulative effect of all NATO countries fighting full-out even with woke socialist attrition factored in, there would be an overwhelming superiority. Russia may be having its way with Ukraine (to some extent) but NATO in total would be fifty to a hundred times the strength of Ukraine, and already in a forward position in Poland and the Baltic states which could easily be reinforced to full strength within two weeks to a month. In fact, how do we know they aren’t being upgraded right now?
And Putin has the two-front problem to consider if his buddies in China ever decided to pick off eastern Siberia. And there are Asian pro-NATO powers that could get involved there too.
It’s amusing that few ever address why there are so many ethnic Russians in Ukraine.
Here’s a clue: There were a lot of available farms after the 30’s and 40’s. Seems millions of Ukrainians just “ disappeared.”
Exactly. In a poll in 2011 in all areas except Crimea the number of people who said they were Russian was less than 30%.
And that mixed up people who speak Russian as a first (like Zelensky himself) vs those who felt Russian.
That number has decreased, with many now reject any relationship with a Putin run state