[SpeedyInTexas]

US is estimating. But sounds plausible to me.

By comparison US lost 2500 in Afghanistan in 20 years and 4500 in Iraq in a decade+.

Russia 4500 in 1.5 weeks.

[2banana]

And....

Two weeks to break the curve...

[DesertRhino]

Do all 17 intelligence agencies agree again?

[blackberry1]

more deep state garbage.....

There is no video to support their made up numbers. Show us where this happened.

[MSF BU]

The NLAW should work wonderfully in the short range combat coming up. I wonder if the Swedes are sending their Carl Gustaf system?

[SlipperySlope99]

The very same US Intelligence that couldn’t predict the downfall of the Soviet Union in 1991? I want to see evidence that actually backs up this claim.

[Renfrew]

That guess seems reasonable.

One number I am interested in is how many troops the Russians have had to discharge? All those abandoned tanks and APCs are caused by conscripts unwilling to fight abandoning them and running back to their lines.

For every Russian that stands and fights, far more seem to flee. The number of deserters may be much higher than the casualties.

[PIF]

Casualties only matter if they cannot be hidden from the Russian public.

[SpeedyInTexas]

“Aeroflot group airlines (Aerflot, Rossiya, Aurora) will cancel international flights beginning Tuesday at least in part to prevent lessors from recovering aircraft from the airlines.”

Wouldn’t want the leasing company to get their property back would we?

Anyway, they can’t get parts for the planes anymore.

[Meet the New Boss]

Pentagon said this evening Ivan has committed 95% of the combat power he had amassed along the border

Over the past day only limited changes on the ground. No significant movement along the Russian axes

Fighting in the south near Kherson and Mykolaiv

No amphibious invasion in or near Odessa, one does not appear to be imminent either

[ScottinVA]

Too bad Putin isn’t one of them.

[Wpin]

I believe more have been killed...

[LegendHasIt]

"Low Confidence"

Low confidence? Well, that's better than what I have in anything any of the 'Intelligence' agencies say or the media reports;. Try "NO confidence".

[ifinnegan]

How many has Ukraine lost?

[House Atreides]

“…made with ‘low confidence’…”
**********************************

Hell, with HIGH confidence, I think it wise to believe NOTHING claimed by either side of this conflict until I can confirm it from independent reliable sources.

[SpeedyInTexas]

“WSJ: Russia recruiting Syrians skilled in urban combat to be sent to Ukraine to help take Kyiv, according to U.S. officials.

The WSJ said it is unclear how many fighters have been identified, but some are already in Russia preparing to enter Ukraine, according to one official.”

[Drew68]

By comparison US lost 2500 in Afghanistan in 20 years and 4500 in Iraq in a decade+.

And we lost both of those wars.

[flamberge]

The estimate, however, is made with ‘low confidence,’ officials say.

I would guess that even the Russians do not know how many casualties they have. Our agencies are just picking numbers out of the air.

Possibly, the Russians are doing the same. They have a much different attitude toward casualties. Basically, they don't care as long as the remaining men will still fight.

Check back in a week and see if they have launched their final offensive against Kyiv. One way or another, that will be the telling event as to whether their invasion will succeed or fail.

[Drew68]

Social media is too busy deplatforming Russian accounts while allowing only the Ukrainian position to be amplified. "We're winning but please send us tanks and planes! And if you can shoot a gun, we'll give you one!"

When only the losses of one side are considered newsworthy, it's easy to think the other side is winning.

In truth, Twitter is going to have a meltdown in the coming weeks. The bulk of the Ukranian army, which has been stationed on the east fighting the DPR/LPR breakaway factions since 2014, is facing total annihilation. They'll be surrounded in the Donbas kessel, cut off, and wiped out after which the Russian army will regroup and take Kiev from the south.

And all those airplanes we're sending them? The Russians will crater every useable airfield in Ukraine, leaving only NATO bases from which they can operate.

The real world is a different one from what you see on Twitter. I will concede that the Ukrainian maps look a lot different from this Russian map.

[wny]

We’ve reached the point where nothing, absolutely nothing said by the US government can be believed.

[chemical_boy]

There was a photo (Don’t south near Odessa) on liveumap of an entire Russian Artillery Battery knocked out. There would be roughly 180ish men total. I’m not saying the entire force was killed, but the sheer volume of Russian hardware that has been knocked, it is a possibility the 4,500 have been killed.