That guess seems reasonable.
One number I am interested in is how many troops the Russians have had to discharge? All those abandoned tanks and APCs are caused by conscripts unwilling to fight abandoning them and running back to their lines.
For every Russian that stands and fights, far more seem to flee. The number of deserters may be much higher than the casualties.
The number of deserters may be much higher than the casualties.
If so and that trend continues, the Ukraine will be worse for Russia, than our Vietnam B$.
During WW2 Stalin and company didn’t take too well to those who surrendered. Many fled west when the war was ending. Those who returned home were imprisoned if they were lucky. Wonder what’s going to happen to the one who get home after this is over.