Posted on 02/12/2022 5:19:42 AM PST by Phoenix8
VIDEO
UnCommon Core: The Causes and Consequences of the Ukraine Crisis
John J. Mearsheimer, the R. Wendell Harrison Distinguished Service Professor in Political Science and Co-director of the Program on International Security Policy at the University of Chicago, assesses the causes of the present Ukraine crisis, the best way to end it, and its consequences for all of the main actors. A key assumption is that in order to come up with the optimum plan for ending the crisis, it is essential to know what caused the crisis. Regarding the all-important question of causes, the key issue is whether Russia or the West bears primary responsibility.
The speech was in the Obama reign and I don’t know the politics of the guy but he seems to have been like Nostradamus and predicted the pickle we are getting into.
It’s seems Biden is following the same strategy as Obama did.
If there were no people in Ukraine unhappy with the economy Putin would not have reason to expect an incident justifying a Russian takeover.
His third term...
Ukraine must change its laws to control corruption and create a friendly business environment.


Probably under orders from George Soros.
The big mistake was our handling of post-Soviet Russia. There were two approaches that we considered:
* Strong friendly Russia. Embrace the new Russian state, send them Marshal Plan like aid to rebuild their economy, and work for them to join NATO. (Secretary of State Jim Baker proposed this)
* Weak angry Russia. Take the Soviet collapse as a chance to permanently do away with our rival. Support the independence of the Autonomous Republics within Russia and use the resulting chaos to take essential control of the Russian Far East. (Secretary of Defense Dick Cheney proposed this)
The problem is both Bush and Clinton were weak leaders and chose neither option. Instead we settled on a compromise of creating a Strong Angry Russia.
Corruption is a social phenomenon. I’m sure there are already plenty of LAWS in Ukraine.
Obama mishandled it disastrously (as he did everything) but the coup was essential.
People forget that Yanukovych in 2013 signed a deal to sell 9% of his country to China. The West could not allow that. He needed to be overthrown.
Not exactly in the terms you used but he talks about this sort of thing a little.
Who are we to say what is essential for Ukraine?
As for the US, Bill Clinton didn’t sell it he simply opened up the university computers to the Chinese and gifted them all the technology and knowlege.
I’ll go with Slow Joe Biden’s corruption. What do I win?
Bush sent aid. Putin pulled away.
The second approach was taken in practice, except it was implemented poorly.
Excellent video
Mearsheimer indeed predicted EVERYTHING that is happening now. It is quite amazing.
If you start with the fact America is ruled by a globalist, woke, permanent elite who have never had their thinking or power checked (he calls them liberal hegemenists), then events will cascade in a predictable fashion.
The West is partly to blame. Upon USSR dissolution Ukraine was convinced that the West would protect them, so it was OK for them to give up the hundreds of Soviet nukes on Ukraine soil.
Foolish of them to believe that. Corrupt of us to offer it.
If Ukraine had a few, even without ICBM’s, they could tell Russia that some are hidden along approaches on the border. Go ahead, see what your old nukes can do to a tank brigade.
Taiwan can do the same: “Oh, are you CERTAIN that no ship currently in your Chinese port is not mined? Why would we not do that? You are planning to murder everyone on Taiwan, like in HongKong.”
If you go back to the breakup of the USSR, Ukraine had nukes, but was persuaded to give them up after "assurances" (I don't know what or from whom) that they would be protected. I'm guessing the Ukrainians wish they had some nuke deterrence now, but it is probably better that the world doesn't get in a Nuke War over them.
Given the track record on assurances, particularly from the Biden Regime, you can bet any other country won't make that mistake again, so nuke proliferation is guaranteed.
The only good a Uke nuke could do would be to decapitate the Russian leadership. But it would have to be first strike, since when the invasion starts the leadership will be dispersed, concealed and protected. And first strike means you're the bad guy.
Yes I’ve never even heard of him before and I can only think of one other person predict anything so accurately 8 years ahead of time before.
Amazing really.
Every right thinking person at the time wanted nukes out of Ukraine and every other former Soviet state. Ukraine was not a functioning government. It wasn't close to a unified state. It was, and although its improved, is still an oligarchic kleptocracy (cue Hunter Biden). Although they are all slavs, they are split in half by language, culture, ethnicity, even which Orthodox leader they accept. Those nukes would have been sold, or just disappeared, to the highest bidder.
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