I don’t see what you guys are seeing. I don’t see a “peak” in the sense that it is behind us yet. It is a peak for sure - new infections are triple what they were at the last peak. But I don’t see in the charts anything looking like a decline in new cases other than what may just be statistical noise.
It may in fact be a peak. Or maybe we aren’t testing enough to know. For sure the greater the number of tests the higher the new case number will be - at least for the short term. But I looked at worldometer numbers and charts this morning, well over 750,000 new cases yesterday. That’s massive compared to what we saw at the peak in 2020.
Other assumption is that after everyone is infected, immunity follows. But I don’t think anyone really knows. This doesn’t behave like normal viruses.
Check the individual states in the Northeast, NY, NJ and CT for example. Use the seven day running average in Worldometer.
Omicron peaks and drops, according to the Drs in South Africa, like an ice pick. The numbers are lowered today, they’ll now drop like a rock.
At least the chart looks lower today than yesterday
EXTREMELY good point. There is much news of test kit shortages. And if, say, 40% of home test kit positives are not reported...
In any event, I've learned any apparent slowdown or even reduction of curve velocity has to go on for over a week before it can be "trusted".
Of course, what I really wish is to wake up and find this has all been a bad dream...