Imagine on Big Island there are 100000 old folks and 100000 young folks.
Let’s say the risk of Covid death is .5% for unvaccinated old folks and .1% for vaccinated old folks.
Let’s say the risk of Covid death is .01% for unvaccinated young folks and .005% for vaccinated young folks.
Imagine 90% of the old folks get vaccinated and 20% of the young folks get vaccinated.
unvaccinated old dead 10000x.5%=50
unvaccinated young dead 80000x.01%=8
vaccinated old dead 90000x.1%=90
vaccinated young dead 20000x.005%=1
The death toll would be 91 vaccinated, 58 unvaccinated.
I hope your post gets some attention. At the least to help people understand how statistics are often misrepresented leading to misleading conclusions.
Unfortunately, the dead vaxxed people never make it to your imaginary island, so aren’t counted in your imaginary calculation…
So there’s that.
Makes sense, except that the effective treatments for the unvaxed are withheld, and deadly CDC treatments are administered.
What’s the point of your imaginary example?
Is it possible to stop "supposing" and repost it with the true numbers as they are known today?
-PJ