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To: Enlightened1

Imagine on Big Island there are 100000 old folks and 100000 young folks.

Let’s say the risk of Covid death is .5% for unvaccinated old folks and .1% for vaccinated old folks.

Let’s say the risk of Covid death is .01% for unvaccinated young folks and .005% for vaccinated young folks.

Imagine 90% of the old folks get vaccinated and 20% of the young folks get vaccinated.

unvaccinated old dead 10000x.5%=50
unvaccinated young dead 80000x.01%=8

vaccinated old dead 90000x.1%=90
vaccinated young dead 20000x.005%=1

The death toll would be 91 vaccinated, 58 unvaccinated.


4 posted on 10/13/2021 8:57:19 AM PDT by Brian Griffin ( )
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To: Brian Griffin

I hope your post gets some attention. At the least to help people understand how statistics are often misrepresented leading to misleading conclusions.


8 posted on 10/13/2021 9:11:48 AM PDT by Magnum44 (...against all enemies, foreign and domestic...)
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To: Brian Griffin

Unfortunately, the dead vaxxed people never make it to your imaginary island, so aren’t counted in your imaginary calculation…

So there’s that.


10 posted on 10/13/2021 9:24:59 AM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion (Fraud vitiates everything ᡕᠵ᠊ᡃ࡚ࠢ࠘ ⸝່ࠡࠣ᠊߯᠆ࠣ࠘ᡁࠣ࠘᠊᠊ࠢ࠘𐡏⁻ )
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To: Brian Griffin

Makes sense, except that the effective treatments for the unvaxed are withheld, and deadly CDC treatments are administered.


21 posted on 10/13/2021 10:21:48 AM PDT by D Rider ( )
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To: Brian Griffin

What’s the point of your imaginary example?


25 posted on 10/13/2021 10:33:39 AM PDT by Gene Eric (Don't be a statist!)
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To: Brian Griffin
You've been posting that for months.

Is it possible to stop "supposing" and repost it with the true numbers as they are known today?

-PJ

30 posted on 10/13/2021 11:04:07 AM PDT by Political Junkie Too ( * LAAP = Left-wing Activist Agitprop Press (formerly known as the MSM))
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