Is there an absolute certainty of cause and effect when it comes to these deaths?
It is not a dichotomy where all of them are really caused by the jab or none of them are. There are always going to be cases where somebody happens to die from an unknown cause and something that did not really cause the death is blamed.
In typical years we have about half the country getting flu shots and about 150 total VAERs deaths reported. This year are on track to have about 100 times that.
Assuming half the population roughly is vaccinated by flu shots in a typical year we have about 166.5 million Americans vaccinated. With an average life span in US of about 78, we should thus expect about 5924 people that took a vaccine to die on any given day by pure coincidence not necessarily having anything to do with the vaccine. Now being that I *think* that just about all the deaths reported are during the first two days, let us say 120 of those reported in this case, then of the first two day reports we have about 120 out of 11,880 deaths reported as vaccine related in a typical year. So about 1% of the deaths blamed on the flu shot out of deaths in the two days following when a flu shot was gotten.
Now it is not unreasonable to suspect that the flu shots might not have caused any of these deaths. Its not hard to believe that 1% of deaths are cases where the real cause is not apparent and people go looking for other answers. I don't know if this is the case, maybe there are even more than 150 flu shot deaths in a typical year, but the point is as an upper bound for falsely blaming a vaccine in the previous 30 years of VAERs data we have 1% false blame the vaccine rating.
Of course for THIS year we have about 100 times more deaths reported. If we assumed for the heck of it that not a single one of these deaths was really due to the vaccines we would have to credit anti-vaxxer hysteria has convinced grieving families to falsely blame the vaccines for about 100% of the expected deaths in the two days following vaccination (which is still where the lions share of reported deaths fall).
Now a roughed over part of this quick analysis is that we may have older more feeble people taking the vaccine who were more likely to die anyway. But even so, we are dealing with half the population about being jabbed so we can't have just old people there. As an upper bound for the effect then, lets cut the 100% in half down to 50%.
Thus bending over backwards as much as possible on the side of the vaccines being just as safe as the flu shots, we are still left with a false blame rate of going from 1% to 50% of deaths in first two days...which is not very plausible even if VAERs is better know now and all.
Bottom line: It seems most of these reported deaths really are due to the jabs, and it seems these jabs are far more dangerous than flu shots in the short term.
As far as long term data, there is no data other than biologists who say its ok and some predicting disaster.