1) You would first have to assume that, like the CDC assumes that everyone who died with COVID died from COVID, that every death after a vaccine was caused by the vaccine.
2) Then you would have to assume that the 12,313 deaths figure is accurate, not closer to 40,000 as some data has suggested.
If you grant both 1 and 2, then yes, I personally think that a 1 in 15,000 chance of death from the vaccine (or 6.67 deaths per 100,000) is better than the (claimed) 185 per 100,000 deaths from COVID in the U.S.
However, there's a whole lot of assumin' goin' on here.
Given the favorable balance of risks you’ve cited, would you be in favor of mandating the jab, either by federal law, or by the present method (nearly unavoidable government-encouraged coercion).?
“ If you grant both 1 and 2, then yes, I personally think that a 1 in 15,000 chance of death from the vaccine (or 6.67 deaths per 100,000) is better than the (claimed) 185 per 100,000 deaths from COVID in the U.S.”
Your 185 per 100,000 number is seriously flawed. You also need to take into account the rate of people CATCHING covid. I saw a study where they found that over 80% of people are naturally immune. So, when you factor in that, you end up with only 20% of the 185, or 37 per 100,000 people.
Next, you have to factor in how many people don’t catch covid because they didn’t get exposed. I don’t know what that number is, but it’s less than everyone.
Also, we need to know more about that 100,000 number. Is that of people who test positive? Who sought treatment? Who were hospitalized? The population as a whole? Without answer to that there can be no accurate risk calculations. Also, are the reported deaths FROM covid or WITH covid? Again, without accuracy in these numbers and a solid definition of what is considered a death, the rest of the math is useless.
For the vaccine deaths and injuries, we at least know how many people got the jab, so at least that part of the equation is accurate. The jury is out on the vaccine death count, which has the same questions regarding whether they were AFTER the jab, or BECAUSE of the jab.
Bottom line is that we don’t have any answers. The only thing we know for sure is that you can 100% eliminate the risk of a vaccine death by not getting the vaccine.